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Showing posts with label India Monsoon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label India Monsoon. Show all posts

Thursday, July 12, 2012

Drought on the cards - Monsoon


The domestic economy is passing through a rough phase and hence monsoon season becomes even more crucial as a weak monsoon could have a cascading impact on inflation, rural demand and hydro electricity generation. In order to gain a more informed perspective on the progress of monsoon so far, we organized a call with Mr. Jatin Singh, a weather expert and Founder CEO of Skymet Weather Services, a pioneering private sector initiative in weather forecasting services. Below, we present a summary of the conference call and further, key excerpts: Drought seems realistic According to Skymet, drought is becoming imminent. The agency forecasts about 60% probability of a drought (20% below LPA in full season) and 90% probability of below normal rainfall (90-94% of LPA). Overall, Skymet expects a 20% below LPA season compared to 23% below LPA in 2009. The reservoir situation also looks bleak. Of the 84 reservoirs in the country, 74 are running at 40% capacity. One of the major reservoirs in Himachal Pradesh that caters to Punjab is currently running at just 17% capacity.

Tuesday, August 02, 2011

Monsoon below normal


The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast ‘below normal' rainfall for the country during the second half (August-September) of the current south-west monsoon season.

This comes even as the first half (June-July) has turned out to be not so bad, with the monsoon showers being reasonably well spread, both in spatial as well as temporal terms.

Read more

Sunday, July 31, 2011

Monsoon rains 23% below normal in week to July 27


Southwest monsoon was 23% below normal in the week ending July 27, a steep decline from the 7% above average rains received in the previous week, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Thursday. The rains were poor during last week over rice and cotton areas of south and western India. The weather office's overall forecast, made around a month ago, expected the rains to be slightly below normal for the entire June to September season. Last year, rainfall was 38% above normal in the week ended July 28, after a weak start in June, and ended the four-month season as normal. Widespread rain/thundershowers would occur over west coast and Andaman & Nicobar Islands up to 31st July, the IMD said . Fairly widespread rain/thundershowers would occur over northwest India, Bihar, subHimalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, northeastern states and Lakshadweep. Scattered rain/thundershowers would occur over remaining parts of the country, except extreme peninsular India. Heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur at a few places over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and subHimalayan West Bengal & Sikkim during the next 48 hours, the weather bureau said. Isolated heavy rainfall would occur over Assam & Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Konkan & Goa, coastal Karnataka, Kerala, Lakshadweep and Andaman & Nicobar Islands, it added. Fairly widespread rainfall would occur up to 2nd August over many parts of the country, except parts of northwest, east and peninsular India where it would be scattered.

Sunday, July 10, 2011

Monsoon covers more parts of Gujarat and Rajasthan


The southwest monsoon has further advanced over remaining parts of Gujarat and some more parts of Rajasthan, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said. Conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon over remaining parts of Rajasthan and thus would cover the entire country during the next 23 days, the weather office said.

Monsoon rains were 25% below normal in the week ended July 6, slowing from the 10% above average rains in the previous week, the IMD said on Thursday. The slowing rains reflect a weakness in the monsoon over rice, cotton and oilseeds growing areas of east, west and central India. But the weekly rains were above normal over the cotton and rice growing areas of Andhra Pradesh.

Saturday, April 23, 2011

Monsoon likely to be normal again: IMD


The country will have normal monsoon this year. Releasing the initial Long Range Forecast for the coming June to September period, Union Minister for Science & Technology and Earth Sciences, Pawan Kumar Bansal said, "The rainfall for the country as a whole is most likely to be normal i.e. 96-104% of Long Period Average (LPA).

There is very low probability for season rainfall to be deficient (below 90% of LPA) or excess (above 110% of LPA). Quantitatively, monsoon season rainfall is likely to be 98% of the LPA with a model error of + 5%. The LPA of the season rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1951-2000 is 89 cm, he said.

Saturday, September 11, 2010

Monsoon may extend well into next month


Japanese researchers have maintained the outlook for prevailing strong La Nina conditions to reach a peak during the following winter.

The La Nina would be long-lasting and could persist until early 2012, according to Dr Jing-Jia Luo, Senior Scientist at the Climate Variation Predictability and Applicability Research Programme at Tokyo's Research Institute for Global Change (RIGC).