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Monday, April 30, 2007

Anand Rathi - Educomp Solutions

Anand Rathi - Educomp Solutions

Citigroup - Glaxo

Citigroup - Glaxo

Edelweiss - ITI

Edelweiss - ITI

Kotak - KPIT Cummins

Kotak - KPIT Cummins

Citigroup - Castrol India

Citigroup - Castrol India

Ashish Chugh - HIDDEN GEMS - Jaypee Hotels

Ashish Chugh - HIDDEN GEMS - Jaypee Hotels

Man Financial - Bharti Airtel

Man Financial - Bharti Airtel

Emkay - Monthly Recommendations - May 2007

Download here

ENAM - Bank of Baroda, Corporation Bank, PFC, Pantaloon Retail

Bank of Baroda

Corporation Bank


Pantaloon Retail

Good Evening - Apr 30 2007

Key indices opened down nearly 1% as investors booked profits following the 4.5% gain in indices in the last five sessions. Weak Asian markets also hit sentiment. Asian markets were weak today due to a slide in metal prices and on concerns over Japan's economic growth. Bank of Japan today kept its overnight call rate unchanged. Profit sales after five straight sessions of gains and weakness in Asian market dragged Sensex and Nifty nearly 1% early today. The Nifty was weighed down by Cipla shares, which fell 14% to Rs 218 after the company Thursday reported a 34% drop in Jan-Mar net profit to Rs 1.26 bn. Citigroup has reduced the stock's target price to Rs 170. At 10:36AM, Sensex was 14089.57, down 139.37 points or 0.9%. Nifty was at 4135.85, down 42.00 points or 1.0%. The two indices have gained 4.5% over the last five sessions and are now nearing record highs touched in February. Investors here also unwound positions ahead of the weekend. The CNX Midcap Index was flat and S&P CNX 500 Index down 0.6%. On the BSE, there were 725 advances and 821 declines in morning session. Reliance Industries was down on profit sales after reporting better-than-expected Jan-Mar earnings Thursday. Among Nifty gainers: Ranbaxy Lab was up 1.1% at Rs 375, Wipro rose 1.0% to Rs 569, and Tata Motors was up 0.8% at Rs 773. Ranbaxy Lab gained ahead of its Jan-Mar earnings later today. The company's net profit is seen growing 76% on year to Rs 1.2 bn. Automobile shares extended gains as concerns over high interest rates cutting into demand and profits have slightly eased after the RBI left its key rates unchanged at its policy review Tuesday. The BSE Auto Index gained 1%. Investors will eye the inflation rate for week to Apr 14 and earnings of Bharti Airtel for further cues. In the mid trading session, indices were down 2%. Profit sales, after recent gains, and weakness in Asian markets .Sentiment was not affected even as inflation for the week to Apr 14 remained unchanged at 6.09%, against expectations of a rise to 6.14%. At 1:50PM, BSE Sensex was at 13976.08, down 252.80 points, or 1.8% from Thursday. NSE Nifty was at 4100.90, down 76.95 points, or 1.8%. Ranbaxy Laboratories was down 1% after it reported Jan-Mar earnings that missed street estimate. The company's net profit for the quarter was Rs 1.15 bn, up 129% on year. The BSE Healthcare Index shed 4%. Sterlite Industries was down 3% ahead of its March quarter earnings Thursday. Hindustan Zinc, from which Sterlite derives 70% of its profit, Thursday reported fourth quarter earnings below analysts' estimates. Among the few gainers, Siemens India gained 1.3%, Satyam Computer rose 1.4%, while Maruti Udyog rose 1%. Cipla, down 15%, was worst-hit among Nifty stocks. Reliance Industries shares were down 2.5% at Rs 1,555 due to profit-booking. No. of Scrips Value (Crs.) Advances 277 1894 Declines 767 6173 Unchanged 27 81 Total 1071 8148 Bharti Airtel fell 2% to Rs 844 after the company said average revenue per user for Jan-Mar quarter declined 5% from the previous quarter to Rs 406. Key indices ended down 2.4% as investors sold shares of pharmaceutical companies and heavyweights like ONGC, and Tata Steel. Today, Nifty fell more than 2% due to heavy selling in shares of pharmaceutical companies and index heavyweights. Weakness in Asian markets and lack of buying due to caution ahead of the weekend worsened the fall. Today, Bank of Japan left its overnight call rates unchanged. The finance minister and RBI officials meet later today to discuss ECB inflows, according to reports. Sensex ended at 13908.58, down 320.30 points or 2.3%, after touching a low of 13884.53 and a high of 14219.25 intraday. Nifty ended at 4083.50, down 94.35 points or 2.3%. It moved between a low of 4074.30 and a high of 4182.00. The combined turnover on both exchanges was 120 bn. The CNX Midcap Index was down 1% and S&P CNX 500 Index was down 2%. .Pharmaceutical shares were the worst hit in the Nifty after Cipla late Thursday reported Jan-Mar earnings that missed street expectations. The company's net profit for the March quarter was 1.3 bn, down 34%. Cipla shares ended at Rs 217, down 14%, the worst hit in the Nifty. Ranbaxy Laboratories erased the session's losses to end nearly flat at Rs 371. The company reported Jan-Mar net at Rs 1.15 bn, marginally above estimates. The BSE Healthcare Index ended down 4%. Some of the biggest losers today were heavyweights ONGC, down 3.3% at Rs 926, Tata Steel, down 4.1% at Rs 537, and Reliance Industries, down 3.6% at Rs 1,539. Sterlite Industries, which derives 70% of its profits from Hindustan Zinc, fell as Hindustan Zinc Thursday reported Jan-Mar earnings below analysts' estimates. Sterlite details fourth quarter results Thursday. Among the rare gainers, ABB was up 1% at Rs 4,141, extending gains on robust March quarter earnings detailed Wednesday. Tech stocks ended in mixed trend. Infosys was down at Rs 2005.15 with volumes of Rs 330.41 crs, Satyam was up at Rs 467.85 with volumes of Rs 159.98 crs, TCS was down at Rs 1234.50 with volumes of Rs 147.62 crs, and Wipro closed up at Rs 565.75 with volumes of Rs 52.64 crs. Pharma stocks ended negative with exception. Cipla was down at Rs 217.10 with volumes of Rs 406.56 crs, Ranbaxy closed up at Rs 370.70 with volumes of Rs 65.23 crs, Dr Reddy was down at Rs 701.55 with volumes of Rs 27.86 crs, and Sun Pharma closed down at Rs 1038.05 with volumes of Rs 14.08 crs. Banking stocks showed negativity with exception. In the Public Sector banks SBI closed down at Rs 1101.65 with volumes Rs 166.40 crs & Bank Of India closed down at Rs 195.70 with volumes Rs 60.37 crs. In the private sector ICICI Bank closed down at Rs 935.15 with volume of Rs 117.07 crs & Kotak Bank closed up at Rs 521.55 with volumes of Rs 68.97 crs. Auto Stocks ended down. Tata Motors closed down at Rs 749.35 with volumes of Rs.143.63 crs & M&M closed down at Rs 762.25 with volumes of Rs 68.24 crs. While in the 2 wheeler segment stocks, Baja Auto closed down at Rs 2456.30 with volumes of Rs 62.28 crs & Hero Honda closed down at Rs 667.40 with volumes of Rs 11.43 crs. Cement Stocks witnessed negative trend. ACC closed down at Rs 822.45 with volumes of Rs 62.73 crs, India Cement closed down at Rs 176.35 with volumes of Rs 42.63 crs, GACL closed up at Rs 117.35 with volumes of Rs 28.07 crs and Shree Cement closed down at Rs 1050.05 with volumes of Rs 7.06 crs. Nifty ended at 4084 down by 94 points

Sharekhan Eagle Eye (equities) & Derivatives Info Kit for May 03, 2007

Sharekhan Eagle Eye (equities) & Derivatives Info Kit for May 03, 2007

IISL - Adlabs Q4FY07 Result Update (Buy)

IISL - Adlabs Q4FY07 Result Update (Buy)

Citigroup - Corporation Bank

Citigroup - Corporation Bank

Market Close: bouyancy in the air !

On the last day of month indices traded weak at the start on negative global cues and more of lack of positive triggers. ICICI equity dilution along with its unimpressive results disappointed investors. This is a holiday shortened week with markets closed for 2 dats. Investors tend to play safe in such times. However markets managed to see recovery in late trading session to end flat. Last hour recovery was largely led by Reliance communication post is 4Q numbers. RIL also led to some recovery at the end. Selective mid and small caps outperformed for the day. Some economic worries seems to be hovering global markets we really needs to wait and watch how they pan out.

Sensex closed down by 36 points at 13872.37. Weighing on the Sensex were losses in ICICI Bk (865.9,-7 percent), HLL (199.4,-5 percent), Cipla (210.85,-3 percent), ONGC (911.9,-2 percent) and Bharti Tele (812.05,-2 percent). Losses were restricted by gains in RCVL (477.1,+4 percent), TCS (1265.7,+3 percent), Hero Honda (683.6,+2 percent), TISCO (549.6,+2 percent) and Infosys (2049.3501,+2 percent).

Reliance Communication declared excellent results for Q4FY07 results. Net profits jumped 154% to Rs 1,023 crore from Rs 403 crore in same period of last financial year and revenues up by 32.5% to Rs 3,936 crore versus Rs 2,970 crore. For quarter-on-quarter, it has posted net profit of Rs 1,023 crore versus Rs 924 crore, a growth of 10.7% and revenues of Rs 3,936 crore compared to Rs 3,755 crore in previous quarters, up by 4.8%. R Com?s Q4 EBITDA stood at Rs 1,635 crore and margin at 41.5%. Wireless margins in the fourth quarter were at 39%, global business margins at 24% and enterprise business margins at 49%. For FY07, the company has reported net profit of Rs 3,163 crore and revenues of Rs 14,468 crore. The results were above market expectation. The Telecom stocks ended in strong except few stocks. R Com closed up by 3.35% while its peer Bharti and MTNL closed down by 1.36% and 1.92%. VSNL and Tata Tele closed up by 1.3% and 7.79% respectively.

Hindustan Lever has posted healthy results for the quarter ended March 07. The company posted net profits of Rs 393 cr for the March end quarter against Rs 443 cr for the quarter previous year, up 7%. Total Income for the quarter increased by 14% and stood at Rs 3275 cr against Rs 2867 cr in the same quarter previous year. The results were not comparable to the extent of amalgamation of Modern Foods (India) Ltd and its subsidiary with the Company. Consumer goods ended in mixed while HLL closed down by 4.84% and its peer P&G also closed marginally down. Competition is high and with the need of stronger advertising and promodtion costs needed to drive growth markets seem to sense tougher times ahead on increased advertising costs. All media companies saw bouyancy. HT has announced a hike in advertising rates and that indicates tough times for FMCG companies.

Wipro is planning to set up an IT park in Nagpur at a new special economic zone (SEZ) near Multi-modal International Hub Airport (Mihan). The company informed that have acquired 117 acres of land by making a 20% upfront payment to the Maharashtra Airport Development Company (MADC). Wipro is believed to start a software development centre and will further consider expanding its other businesses such as business process outsourcing (BPO), business process management and knowledge services. The company has set a target of 1.5 - 2 years for the IT Park at Mihan to get operational. Earlier, MADC allotted 100 acres each to Satyam Computer Systems and Shapoorji Pallonji & Co, and 120 acres to L&T Infocity for setting up IT parks at Mihan. Software stocks ended in strong while Wipro closed marginally up and its peer Infosys and TCS closed up by 2.5%. The reason for the strength was a weaker rupee which was up on the RBI increasing the limits for MSS (Monetory stabilisation system) resources to 110000 cr. The RBI seems to have indicated that its ready to intervene after having waited out for 3 weeks.

Technically Speaking: It was a weak session for the whole day before closing. Sensex touched intraday high of 13901 and low of 13693. The Sensex has moved into a corrective phase but we believe the downside will be capped at around 13590-13600. On the higher side Resistance lies at 14075, 14190 levels, Support lies at 13757, 13621 levels. Market turnover was pretty low at Rs 3255 cr. Overall breadth was in favor of Advances, where the Advances stood at 1426, Declines stood at 1061.

Citigroup - India Technicals, Alok Industries, Pantaloon Retail

India Technicals

Alok Industries

Pantaloon Retail

Kotak - Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, Cairn India, Container Corporation, Ranbaxy, Glaxo, Bank of Baroda, Sesa Goa, Pantaloon, OBC, Nicholas Piramal, Cor

Bharti Airtel


Cairn India

Container Corporation



Bank of Baroda

Sesa Goa



Nicholas Piramal

Corporation Bank





Sensex spared a steep drop

The market staged a solid intra-day rebound in the second half, as Reliance Industries (RIL) rebounded after an initial slide. Reliance Communications (RCL) also shot back up on the back of strong Q4 results. A recovery in State Bank of India and HDFC Bank also came about in the latter of trading. IT stocks were in demand right from the onset of the trading session. But FMCG giant Hindustan Lever (HLL) came under selling pressure soon after its Q1 results hit the market in early afternoon trade.

Select side-counters were in demand due to their strong Q4 results. A few other scrips rose on expectations of good earnings.

The Sensex’s provisional closing was 13,893.66, a fall of just 14.92 points. It reverted from the lower level after having plunged as many as 214.99 points in mid-morning trade, as ICICI Bank tumbled after the bank announced a large equity issue along with a dismal financial performance in Q4 March 2007. The results were announced after trading hours on Saturday (28 April).

The BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 3255 crore.

Reliance Communications (RCL) gained 3.3% to Rs 475.50, off the session’s low of Rs 447. A strong 34.3 lakh shares changed hands in the counter on BSE. RCL today reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 1024.41 crore in Q4 March 2007. It did not give figures in the corresponding period last year. As per available data, RCL had a consolidated net profit of Rs 440 crore in Q4 March 2006.

Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 2% to Rs 1571, off an early low of Rs 1505. RIL had on Thursday reported stronger-than- expected 14% growth in net profit in Q4 March 2007.

IT firms rose as anxious market men awaited changes, if any, with respect to a proposal in the Union Budget 2007-08 for bringing employee stock options plans under the fringe benefit tax. Infosys rose 2% to Rs 2050.50, TCS added 2.5% to Rs 1265, Satyam Computer gained 1.4% to Rs 474, Wipro advanced 1.4% to Rs 574 and Tech Mahindra surged 9% to Rs 1612.90. The Union Budget 2007-08 is due to be passed by Parliament on Thursday (3 May).

Tata Steel gained 2.5% to Rs 55.10. The stock has been witnessing alternate bouts of buying and selling since unveiling a funding plan for the acquisition of Corus, which may lead to substantial equity dilution in phases.

Cement shares were in demand. ACC rose 2.2% to Rs 840 and Grasim gained 0.5% to Rs 2435.

Hindustan Lever (HLL) plunged 5% to Rs 199.05. The stock declined on high volume of over 17 lakh shares on BSE. HLL's net profit, excluding extraordinary gains, rose 13.6% to Rs 334 crore from Rs 294 crore.

ICICI Bank was down 7% to Rs 867, after announcing a large equity issue along with a dismal financial performance in Q4 March 2007. The stock hit a low of Rs 844.10. A whopping 9.8 lakh shares changed hands in the counter on BSE. ICICI Bank, on Saturday, posted lower-than-expected Q4 earnings due to higher cost of funds. ICICI Bank’s net profit rose 4.45% to Rs 825.12 crore in the quarter ended March 2007, against Rs 789.93 crore during the previous quarter ended March 2006. Total income for the bank rose 54.2% at Rs 8495 crore.

Concerns of huge equity dilution also weighed on the stock. Along with Q4 results, ICICI Bank’s board approved raising additional equity capital by way of a public issue of shares and of American Depositary Shares (ADSs). The exercise is expected to generate around Rs 20000 crore. The approval of shareholders will be sought by postal ballot, the private sector bank said.

Housing finance major HDFC lost 1.8% to Rs 1655. The company unveils Q4 March 2007 results on Thursday (3 May). Oil exploration major ONGC lost 2% to Rs 910.50, extending Friday’s decline.

The market remains closed on Tuesday (1 May) and Wednesday (2 May) on account of public holidays.

European shares were mixed in early trade on Monday. London’s FTSE 100 Index was down 0.06%, whereas key benchmark indices in Germany and France were up 0.2 - 0.5%.

Chinese stocks on Monday shrugged off a central bank announcement at the weekend that it will raise bank reserve ratios to help restrain loan growth. The Shanghai Composite Index was up 2.1%.

But other Asian markets were subdued, as exporters were hit by a weak US GDP growth data. A report on Friday showed the US economy grew by just 1.3% in the first quarter.

Strong earnings helped lift the Dow to another record close above 13,000 on Friday (27 April). It rose 15.44 points, or 0.12%, to end the day at a record 13,120.94, capping off its fourth straight week of gains. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was down just 0.18 of a point, or 0.01%, to finish at 1,494.07. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 2.75 points, or 0.11%, to close at 2,557.21.

Brent crude oil prices hovered above $68 a barrel following sharp gains at the end of last week, with investors still on the edge over a foiled plot to attack oil facilities in top-exporter Saudi Arabia. Brent rallied over 1% on Friday after Saudi Arabia said it fended off an Al-Qaeda-linked plot to attack oil facilities, military bases and public figures, arresting Islamist militants, including some trainee pilots preparing for suicide operations.

Market overcomes early blues

The market seems to be nearing to another phase of correction. After dipping over 300 points in the last session, today the market opened on a bearish note, down 86 points to its previous close on the back of weak Asian indices. The Sensex succumbed to heavy losses as bears tightened their grip by selling heavyweights, banking and information technology stocks. By the mid morning trades the Sensex touched the intra-day low of 13694. The market witnessed selective buying at lower levels in the afternoon and the Sensex recovered 200 points from its day's low. The Sensex finally ended the session with a loss of 36 points at 13872, while the Nifty gained four points at 4088.

The broader market remained positive. Of the 2,548 stocks traded on the BSE, 1,406 stocks advanced, 1,061 stocks declined and 81 stocks ended unchanged. Most of the sectoral indices ended in positive territory. The BSE IT Index gained 2.01% at 5053, the BSE Teck advanced 1.52% at 3725 while the BSE Bankex Index dropped 2.88% at 6883 and the BSE FMCG Index shed 1.13% at 1801.

Among the blue-chips, Reliance Communication shot up by 3.69% at Rs477, TCS soared 2.53% at Rs1,266, Hero Honda surged 2.30% at Rs684, Tata Steel advanced by 2.22% at Rs550, Infosys added 2.12% at Rs2,049, ACC moved up 2.06% at Rs839, Reliance Industries scaled up 1.42% at Rs1,560 and Satyam Computer was up 1.25% at Rs473. Among the laggards ICICI Bank dropped 7.26% at Rs866 and HLL shed 4.82% at Rs199 while Cipla, ONGC, Bharti Airtel, HDFC and Hindalco closed marginally lower.

Banking stocks came under sharp selling pressure. Oriental Bank tumbled by 7.55% at Rs197, Bank of Baroda slipped 2.86% at Rs236 and Bank of India slumped 1.94% at Rs192.

Over 3.58 crore IFCI shares changed hands on the BSE followed by Tata Teliservices (1.20 crore shares), GV Films (42.26 lakh shares), Orbit Corporation (39.48 lakh shares) and Reliance Communication (34.40 lakh shares).

Value-wise Reliance Communication registered a turnover of Rs160 crore on the BSE followed by IFCI (Rs154 crore), Reliance Industries (Rs117 crore), Tech Mahindra (Rs88 crore) and ICICI Bank (Rs85 crore).

Sharekhan Highnoon dated April 30, 2007

Sharekhan Highnoon dated April 30, 2007

IISL - KPIT Cummins Infosystems Q4FY07 Result Update (Buy)

IISL - KPIT Cummins Infosystems Q4FY07 Result Update (Buy)

ICICIDirect - Himadri Chemicals (Buy: Rs 325, Target: Rs 388)

ICICIDirect - Himadri Chemicals (Buy: Rs 325, Target: Rs 388)

ABN Amro - Satyam - Buy - In pursuit of happiness

ABN Amro - Satyam - Buy - In pursuit of happiness

ABN Amro - Maruti Udyog, Edelweiss - Ranbaxy, Edelweiss - Colgate Palmolive

ABN Amro - Maruti Udyog
Edelweiss - Ranbaxy
Edelweiss - Colgate Palmolive

Anand Rathi - Weekly Strategist, Weekly Tech, Weekly Wrap

Weekly Strategist

Weekly Tech Note

Weekly Wrap

Morning Call - Apr 30

Market Grape Wine :

In House :

Nifty at a support of 4055 & 4025 levels with resistance at 4130 & 4166 levels .

Markets to remain range bound with negative bias.Reduce position at higher levels.

Intra Day: Buy Parsavnath above 336 with a TGT of 347 and a SL of 331

Buy HCL Tech above 332.50 with aTGT of 342 and a SL of 326


Buy IDFC above 101 with SL

Out House :

Markets at a support of 13858 & 13786 levels with resistance at 14141 & 14242 levels .

Buy : RIL

Buy : Rolta

Buy : IDEA

Buy : Praj & GlenMark

Buy : ICRA & Crisil

Buy : JSW & Tisco

Buy : SesaGoa & ABAN

Anagram - Daily Call - Apr 30, Emkay Morning Notes, MIC Electronics

Anagram - Daily Call - Apr 30

Emkay Morning Notes, MIC Electronics

Indiainfoline - Intraday Calls

NIFTY (4083) S 4039 R 4128

Buy IOC at Rs436 with SL of Rs432 and target of Rs444, 446

Buy BEL at Rs1687 with SL of Rs1675 and target of Rs1710, 1715

Buy BEML at Rs980 with SL of Rs972 and target of Rs1000, 1005

Sell REL at Rs509 with SL of Rs514 and target of Rs501, 498

Sell UTI Bank at Rs455 with SL of Rs460 and target of Rs447, 445


Bulls on a summer holiday!

Holidays are an expensive trial of strength. The only satisfaction comes from survival.

We're all going on a summer holiday. That's the song bulls seem to be forced to sing. The melody is surely missing following Friday's sudden and sharp selloff despite stable inflation and strong corporate earnings. It is yet another reminder that you should not get too carried away when the market is rising continuously. Lock in some gains regularly to avoid a big hit when things suddenly turn gloomy. Having said that, we do not want to scare the bulls though the month of May has not been too kind to them in two of the last three years. April was a very good month after a volatile first quarter thanks mainly to the renewed strength in FII inflows. What the foreign funds have in mind for May is anybody's guess. With the result season drawing to a close, and the monetary policy also out of the way there may not be many triggers to push the key indices higher. Inflation and the fluctuations in the currency markets coupled with global factors like crude oil prices, and the state of the US, Chinese and Japanese economies will continue to drive the sentiment. Fund flows to emerging markets, including India, will definitely play a major role.

This week at least we do not see much happening as we will have two trading holidays on Tuesday and Wednesday. As for today, we expect a weak opening on the back of the sharp drop in Asian markets and a rangebound trading for the rest of the day. The lower than expected US GDP data may also cast a shadow on the market as will higher oil prices. The yen is up this morning from a record low against the euro after China curbed lending to cool its economy, prompting traders to cut down on the so-called 'carry trades' funded by borrowing the Japanese currency. As is the trend on Monday, traded volume will be low thereby leading to higher intra-day gyrations. We advise investors to stay a little cautious due to the emergence of the fresh set of negative global issues. Reliance Communications and HLL results today may have a bearing on the index movements.

FIIs were net sellers to the tune of Rs3.78bn (provisional) in the cash segment on Friday while domestic institutions pumped in Rs1.76bn. In the F&O segment, they were net sellers of Rs7.03bn on the same day. On Thursday, FIIs were net buyers of Rs3.6bn taking their net investment for April to $1.37bn. For the year so far, foreign funds' net buying is close to $3bn. Mutual Funds brought in Rs178mn on Thursday.

Shares of airline companies could rise amid reports that they are likely to jack up fuel surcharge from Rs750 to Rs900. DS Kulkarni is the stock to watch out for. A financial daily says that the company is close to signing a deal with a foreign developer for investment in two of its projects. ICICI Bank will remain in the limelight following the declaration of its results over the weekend and announcement of the fresh equity issue worth up to $5bn. Some market watchers say the stock might fall amid worries about equity dilution.

US stocks rose for the fourth straight week, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average above 13,000 for the first time, powered by better than expected earnings and a surge in M&A deals.

On Friday, the Dow closed at a record high for the third day in a row and the Nasdaq hit its highest point in six years, despite a weaker-than-expected GDP reading.

The Dow Jones was up 15.44 at 13,120.94. For the week, the Dow gained 1.2%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite rose 2.75 to 2,557.21. For the week, the Nasdaq was up 1.2%. The broader S&P 500 finished flat at 1,494.07. For the week, the S&P 500 gained nearly 0.7%.

US light crude oil for June delivery rose $1.40 to settle at $66.46 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The front-month contract was 14 cents down at $66.32 a barrel in extended hours of trading in Asia.

COMEX gold for June delivery rose $1.50 to end at $679.50 an ounce. Treasury prices were mostly flat with the yield on the 10-year note at 4.69%, little changed from late on Thursday. In currency trading, the dollar slipped to an all-time low against the euro before paring some of its losses and also fell modestly versus the yen.

European shares weakened from six-year highs on Friday as the euro hit an all-time record against the dollar after weak US GDP data. The pan-European Dow Jones Stoxx 600 index declined 0.6% to 386.10. The UK's FTSE 100 shed 0.8% at 6,418.70, the German DAX Xetra 30 lost 0.1% to 7,378.12 and the French CAC-40 slipped 0.2% to 5,930.77.

Asian stocks fell to a one-week low amid concern about economic growth in the US and China. The Morgan Stanley Capital International Asia-Pacific excluding Japan Index lost 0.2% to 429.17 as of 10:03 a.m. in Hong Kong, the lowest since April 19. The index is up 5% this month, set for its biggest monthly advance since November. Taiwan's Taiex index slid 1%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index declined 0.4%. Indexes fell elsewhere, except in Australia, New Zealand and China. Japan's market is closed today for a public holiday.

In the emerging markets, the Bovespa in Brazil was up 0.3% at 49,229 while the IPC index in Mexico gained 0.1% at 29,372.93 and the RTS index in Russia climbed 1% to 1935.51.


Bulls take a breather

After holding firm through the week, the bulls decided to lock in some gains ahead of a truncated trading week. Reliance Industries and Bharti Airtel led the fall following mixed results while Cipla shares slumped after it reported a 34% drop in Q4 net profit. A weak Asian markets also contributed to the fall.

As a result, the benchmark BSE Sensex slid 320 points or 2.25% to end at 13,908.58 after being as high as 14,219.25 and as low as 13,884.53. The NSE Nifty finished 2.3% lower at 4083.50 after touching a high of 4182 and a low of 4074.30.

The BSE Small-Cap index and the Mid-Cap index were relatively better off, losing 1.1% and 0.9%, respectively.

The BSE Healthcare index bore the brunt of the selloff, plunging by nearly 4%, thanks largely to a 14.3% decline in Cipla. Other big losers in the pharma pack were Glenmark (4.5%), Sun Pharma (3.25%), GSK Pharma (3.2%) and Matrix Labs (3%).

Oil & Gas (3%), Banking and Metals (2.3% each) were the other big losers among the sectors. FMCG and Consumer Durable indices lost 1.1% each as well. The BSE IT index closed flat while Auto and Capital Goods shed 0.7% apiece.

Within the Sensex, the biggest losers were Cipla, Bharti Airtel (4.15%), SBI (4.1%), Tata Steel (4%), Reliance (3.7%), ONGC (3.2%), ICICI Bank (3.15%) and Grasim (3.1%). Satyam was the only major gainer, rising by 1.5%. Wipro and NTPC also ended marginally in the green.

Outside the Sensex, the prominent losers included Mahindra Gesco, Unitech, GHCL, Hindustan Construction, India Cements, Sterlite, Century Textiles, FT, Suzlon, Dabur and Reliance Capital.

MICO was a big gainer. The stock surged by 11.6% after its German parent Robert Bosch GmbH made an open offer to buy a 20% stake in the company at Rs4,000 per share or Rs25.64bn. Patni (6.2%), Crompton Greaves (3.3%) and Kotak Bank (3.2%) were the other notable gainers.

Deccan Aviation tumbled 5% after the low-cost carrier posted a loss in its third quarter. Loss for the three months ended March 31 reached Rs2.13bn, the company said in a statement without giving year-ago numbers. Total sales rose 66% to Rs4.57bn, while net sales were Rs4.38bn.

Market Volumes:
The turnover on NSE was down by 30% to Rs82.22bn. BSE Oil & Gas index was the major loser and lost 3.04%. BSE Auto index (down 0.69%), BSE Bank index (down 2.34%) and BSE PSU index (down 1.22%) were among the other major losers.

Volume Toppers:
IFCI, TTML, Cipla, Nagarjuna Fertilizers, IDFC, Orbit Corp, R Com, Idea, RPL, RNRL, SAIL, IREAL, IDBI, Tele Data Informatics, FSL, Bharti Airtel, Satyam Comp, RIL, Bank of India, HCC.

Lower Circuit:
Deccan Aviation, GHCL, GTC Inds, Tele Data and Unitech.

Results Today:
Alps Industries, APIL, Amtek India, Amtek Auto, Andhra Bank, BEL, Bharti Shipyard, CESC, GHCL, GBN, HLL, ICICI Bank, JSW Steel, Jain Irrigation, Mphasis BFL and Vijaya Bank.

Delivery Delight:
Arvind Mills, Asian Electronics, Bata India, Crompton Greaves, DCHL, Gammon India, HCL Infosystems and Infotech Enterprises.

Abnormal Delivery:
Raymond, Balrampur Chini, Cadila Healthcare, Wockhardt, Tata Tea, Hindalco and Grasim.

Stock Futures with Largest Increases in OI:
Cipla, Chennai Petro, J&K Bank, Crompton Greaves, Indian Bank, Bharti Airtel, Bongaigaon Refinery, ICICI Bank and Aban Offshore.

Stock Futures with Largest Decreases in OI:
BILT, ACC, IOC, Corp Bank, Zee, Divi’s Labs, India Cements, STAR, Cummins and Tata Steel.

Results Corner:
Ranbaxy Q1 group profit at Rs1.28bn (up 80%), net sales at Rs15.54bn (up 23%)

GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Q1 profit at Rs423mn (up 23%), revenue at Rs3.4bn (up 20%)

Cipla Q4 net income (down 34%) at Rs1.26bn and total sales fell 57%

Brokers Recommendations:
RIL – Outperformer from Man Financial with target of Rs1707
Wipro – Buy from ABN Amro with target of Rs690

Long Term investment:
Crompton Greaves

Major News
Inflation rate unchanged at 6.09% in week ended April 14 against expectation of 6.10%

Essar Propack plans to spend additional $14mn to expand in the US

JSW Steel may build US Steel Mill

Bharti plans to start Direct-to-Home TV Broadcast this year

SBI says ' No Decision' on share sale

Petron Engineering gets Rs45.5mn order

Market may resume weak

The market may exhibit cautious trend after taking a strong dip on Friday. Also major Asian gauges like the Hang Seng index, the Kospi index, Straits Times and the Jakarta index have declined in current trades and may drag down the indices in early trades. Among the local indices, the Nifty has an intra-day support at 4073 and on a break below 4073 the next support is at 4060. On the upside there is a resistance at 4100. The Sensex has a likely support at 13800 and may face resistance at 14050.

Key announcements like Alstom Projects, Amtek Auto, Andhra Bank, Bharat Electrical, Castrol, CESC, Gateway Distripark, Gemoet, GHCL, Gujarat Gas, HLL, JSW Steel, Moser Baer, Mphasis, Nestle, Proctor & Gamble, Reliance Communication, Sterlite Optical, Triveni Engineering, Vijaya Bank are expected to announce their figures.

US indices rose on Friday, with robust earnings pushing the blue-chip Dow Jones index to its third straight record close even as data showed the economy grew in the first quarter at its slowest pace in four years. The index gained 15 points to close at 13121 while the Nasdaq ended three points higher at 2557.

However, Indian ADRs were largely weak on the US bourses. Tata Motors and ICICI Bank dropped over 2% each while HDFC Bank, MTNL, VSNL, Dr Reddy's, Satyam, Wipro and Infosys were down around 1% each. Patni Computers and Rediff, however, ended with modest gains.

Crude oil prices in the global market moved up, with the Nymex light crude oil for June series rising by $1.40 at $66.46 a barrel. In the commodity segment, the Comex gold for June delivery surged $3.80 to settle at $681.80 an ounce.

Market may remain range-bound

The market may remain range-bound today, as traders are likely to refrain from taking up fresh positions ahead of the public holidays, on Tuesday (1 May) and Wednesday (2 May).

The Union Budget 2007-08 is due to be passed by the Parliament on Thursday (3 May), and markets will keep an eye for any rollback measures from Budget Day (28 February 2007). The markets will be watch whether Finance Minister P Chidambaram rolls back the export duty imposed on iron ore exports, which has hit exports to China, and any changes to bring employee stock options plans under the fringe benefit tax.

The key March 2007 quarter results today are FMCG giant Hindustan Lever and cellular services major Reliance Communications (RCL). RCL is seen reporting robust Q4 results on the back of surging new subscription additions.

The outcome of the ongoing seven-phased Uttar Pradesh assembly elections, is a key political event to watch out for. The assembly poll gets over in early-May 2007, and the vote is seen as a barometer of national political trends. Some opinion polls show the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) could emerge second in the race, further adding to the woes of the ruling Congress, which is battling rising prices.

FIIs have pumped money heavily into Indian stocks, this month. Their buying picked up after IT major Infosys on 13 April 2007, issued a strong guidance for FY 2008, putting to rest concerns of a US economic slowdown on the IT sector. FII inflow for April 2007 (till 26 April) reached Rs 6874 crore. FIIs had pulled out a net Rs 1082 crore in March 2007.

But a bout of selling was witnessed from FIIs on Friday (27 April 2007). As per a provisional data, FIIs were net sellers to the tune of Rs 378 crore on Friday, the day when the Sensex had plunged 320 points.

Chinese stocks on Monday shrugged off a central bank announcement at the weekend that it will raise bank reserve ratios to help restrain loan growth. The Shanghai Composite Index was up 0.9%.

But other Asian markets were subdued, as exporters were hit by a weak US GDP growth data. A report on Friday showed the US economy grew by just 1.3% in the first quarter.

Strong earnings helped lift the Dow to another record close above 13,000 on Friday (27 April). It rose 15.44 points, or 0.12%, to end the day at a record 13,120.94, capping off its fourth straight week of gains. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was down just 0.18 of a point, or 0.01%, to finish at 1,494.07. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 2.75 points, or 0.11%, to close at 2,557.21.

Brent crude oil prices hovered above $68 a barrel on Monday, following sharp gains at the end of last week, with investors still on edge over a foiled plot to attack oil facilities in top-exporter, Saudi Arabia. Brent rallied over 1% on Friday after Saudi Arabia said it fended off an Al-Qaeda-linked plot to attack oil facilities, military-bases and public figures, arresting Islamist militants, including some trainee pilots preparing for suicide operations.

Motilal Oswal - Derivatives, Daily Margin, Corporate News, Market Diary, Market Action, Weekly - Apr 30


Daily Margin

Corporate News

Market Diary

Market Action


Citigroup - Bank of Baroda, HCC, ICICI Bank, Ranbaxy, Raymond

Bank of Baroda





Macquarie - Grasim, Macquarie - NALCO

Macquarie - Grasim
Macquarie - NALCO

SSKI - Patni Computers

SSKI - Patni Computers

Credit Suisse - India Monetary Policy

Credit Suisse - India Monetary Policy