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Tuesday, February 05, 2008
REL, NTPC, IFCI February 2008 futures at premium
Turnover in F&O segment declines
Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5495, at a premium of 11.10 points as compared to spot closing of 5483.90.
The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 31,121.35 crore, which was lower than Rs 40,169.33 crore on Monday, 4 February 2008.
Reliance Energy (REL) February 2008 futures were at premium, at 2038, compared to the spot closing of 2026.55.
NTPC February 2008 futures were at premium, at 224.30, compared to the spot closing of 222.90.
IFCI February 2008 futures were at premium, at 67.80, compared to the spot closing of 66.40.
In the cash market, the S&P CNX Nifty gained 20.40 points or 0.37% at 5483.90.
NSE Bulk Deal Watch - Feb 5 2008
Date,Symbol,Security Name,Client Name,Buy/Sell,Quantity Traded,Trade Price / Wght. Avg. Price,Remarks
05-FEB-2008,AZTECSOFT,Aztecsoft Limited,KARE ELECTRONICS AND DEVELOPMENTS (P) LTD,BUY,264452,65.00,-
05-FEB-2008,HTMEDIA,HT Media Limited,REL CAP TRUSTEE CO LTD A/C REL EQ OPP FUND,BUY,2476893,195.00,-
05-FEB-2008,MADHAV,Madhav Marbles and Granit,JAIN ORNA PVT LED,BUY,50000,70.00,-
05-FEB-2008,NORTHGATE,Northgate Technologies Li,CITIGROUP GLOBAL MARKETS MAURITIUS PRIVATE LIMITED,BUY,507063,512.50,-
05-FEB-2008,SUBHASPROJ,Subhash Proj & Mkt Ltd.,NEW VERNON INDIA LIMITED,BUY,331760,447.00,-
05-FEB-2008,AZTECSOFT,Aztecsoft Limited,ICICI PRUDENTIAL LIFE INSURANCE CO.LTD.,SELL,282400,65.01,-
05-FEB-2008,HTMEDIA,HT Media Limited,FID FUNDS MAURITIUS LIMITED ,SELL,2607025,195.00,-
05-FEB-2008,MADHAV,Madhav Marbles and Granit,MEENAKSHI JATIA,SELL,99696,70.00,-
05-FEB-2008,NORTHGATE,Northgate Technologies Li,GEOMATRIC (HK) LTD. A/C MARSHAL ASIA CAPITAL LTD.,SELL,507063,512.50,-
05-FEB-2008,RAJESHEXPO,Rajesh Exports Ltd.,ZUBER INVESTMENTS PVT LTD,SELL,650000,151.40,-
05-FEB-2008,SUBHASPROJ,Subhash Proj & Mkt Ltd.,MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED,SELL,200000,447.00,-
BSE Bulk Deals to Watch - Feb 5 2008
Deal Date Scrip Code Scrip Name Client Name Deal Type * Quantity Price **
5/2/2008 531190 A V COTTEX I SUDHIR JAIN B 68200 20.00
5/2/2008 531247 ALPHA HI-TEC MAGUNTA RAGHAV S 31662 4.00
5/2/2008 500029 AUTOLITE INE JANKI TEXTILE AND INDUSTRIES LTD. S 25611 100.00
5/2/2008 505506 AXON INFOTEC ANMOL FINANCE COMPANY B 10000 60.00
5/2/2008 505506 AXON INFOTEC CHIRAG SECURITIES B 15000 59.86
5/2/2008 505506 AXON INFOTEC RUPAK DEVELOPERS PRIVATE LIMIT B 5000 60.00
5/2/2008 505506 AXON INFOTEC MAHARAJA ADVISORY SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITED S 4200 59.88
5/2/2008 505506 AXON INFOTEC NINCRO INVESTMENTS AND FINANCE PVT LTD S 25000 60.00
5/2/2008 532380 BABA ARTS MONEY MANAGERS B 200000 28.73
5/2/2008 532380 BABA ARTS LAHOTI COMPUTERS PRIVATE LTD S 200000 28.73
5/2/2008 532380 BABA ARTS GORDHAN P TANWANI S 88804 29.25
5/2/2008 511698 BHAGYASHREE MASTER TRUST LTD S 50000 69.45
5/2/2008 512332 BIRLA CAP PARI STOCK TRADING PVT. LTD S 52163 13.03
5/2/2008 531682 CAT TECHNOL SARFARAZKHAN SARVARKHAN PATHAN B 776929 10.00
5/2/2008 531682 CAT TECHNOL SARFARAZKHAN SARVARKHAN PATHAN S 463929 10.05
5/2/2008 532271 CYBERMAT INF JMP SECURITIES PVT. LTD. B 724937 11.44
5/2/2008 532271 CYBERMAT INF SARFARAZKHAN SARVARKHAN PATHAN B 1483587 11.44
5/2/2008 532271 CYBERMAT INF JMP SECUIRITIES PVT. LTD. S 587056 11.49
5/2/2008 532271 CYBERMAT INF SARFARAZKHAN SARVARKHAN PATHAN S 1544212 11.38
5/2/2008 526821 DAI ICH KARK SHERNEZ F VAKIL B 199170 25.15
5/2/2008 505982 ENNORE FOUND SUBKHAM HOLDING PVT LTD B 83863 199.00
5/2/2008 505982 ENNORE FOUND SUBKHAM CAPITAL INVESTMENT PVT LIMITED S 83891 199.00
5/2/2008 530955 KAILASH FICO SHIVANI SURYAKANT SHAH B 60400 48.14
5/2/2008 504269 KHAITAN ELCT PACIFIC CORPORATE SERVICES LIMITED B 475000 98.41
5/2/2008 504269 KHAITAN ELCT WITHAL COMMERCIAL PVT LTD S 100000 97.88
5/2/2008 504269 KHAITAN ELCT SARSWATI VINCOM LTD S 100000 97.59
5/2/2008 504269 KHAITAN ELCT LOTUS CAPITAL FINANCIAL SERVICES LTD S 200000 98.99
5/2/2008 532092 KIRTI FINVES JMP SECURITIES PVT. LTD. B 271019 1.15
5/2/2008 515093 MADHAV MAR G MEENAKSHI JATIA S 100000 70.00
5/2/2008 505523 MAH IND LEAS AYODHYAPATI INVESTMENT PVT. LTD B 46193 33.72
5/2/2008 526169 MULTIBASE 1 BSMA LTD B 94716 42.50
5/2/2008 532649 NECTAR LIFE MERILL LYNCH CAPITAL MARKETS ESPANA B 91972 261.01
5/2/2008 532649 NECTAR LIFE GRANTS INVESTMENTS LTD FCCB S 91000 261.00
5/2/2008 512449 PACE ELEC(P) UNIFLEX CARRYING CO. PVT LTD S 112000 16.12
5/2/2008 532497 RADICO KHAIT GOLDMAN SACHS INVESTMENTS MAURITIUS I LTD S 714662 107.68
5/2/2008 523710 SAYAJ HOTELS TRANS AGRO INDIA PRIVATE LIMITED B 100000 110.35
5/2/2008 502563 SH BHAW PA M SUDHIR TANDON B 80000 11.05
5/2/2008 502563 SH BHAW PA M SUDHIR TANDON HUF S 80000 11.05
5/2/2008 531866 SUBHKAM CAP SUBHKAM CAPITAL INVEST. PVT LTD B 100000 1249.00
5/2/2008 590047 SUNDARAMMUL ACCORD CAPITAL MARKETS LTD B 495353 17.50
5/2/2008 590047 SUNDARAMMUL MICRO MANAGEMENT LTD S 199525 17.50
5/2/2008 531088 TULIP STAR H BHAMRIBAI BHAVARLAL JAIN B 51643 80.00
5/2/2008 511246 WHITE LION A MAHESH RAMANLAL SHAH S 29677 10.98
5/2/2008 521163 ZODIAC CLOTH NOTZ STUCKI ET S A AC ARUNA FUND B 99418 601.65
5/2/2008 521163 ZODIAC CLOTH BSMA LIMITED S 99442 600.02
Post Market Commentary - Feb 5 2008
The market closed with marginal gains after struggling a lot throughout the trading session. The market opened on a negative note backed by unfavoring cues from the global markets but managed to recover from the initial fall but unable to sustain at higher levels due to profit booking across the counters and finally closed with little gains. A lot of volatility was witnessed during the trading session and the investors took calculated steps in booking their positions. However, the Small Caps and Mid Caps out performed the benchmark indices as most buying was seen from these baskets. The metal, realty, and oil & gas reported most buying from the sectoral indices space. The BSE Sensex closed marginally higher by 2.84 points at 18,663.16 while NSE Nifty closed up by 20.4 points at 5,483.90. The BSE Mid Cap and Small Cap indices also closed higher by 66.38 points and 105 points at 8,071.29 and 10,466.78 respectively.
BSE Metal index closed higher by 355.62 points at 16,793.81. Scrips that advanced are Jindal Steel (13.25%), Ispat Inds (6%), Welspun Guj (2.59%), JSW Steel (2.03%) and Tata Steel (1.87%).
BSE Realty index grew by 157.77 points to close at 10,671.23. Gainers are Sobha Dev 8.74%, Phoenix mill 4.87%, Unitech 4.59%, HDIL 4.20%, Parsvnath 3.29%, Purvankara 2.73%.
BSE Oil & Gas index closed up by 122.13 points at 11,415.49. Gainers are RNRL (6.98%), RPL (2.25%), ONGC (1.78%), HPCL (1.57%), IOCL (1.15%) and Reliance Inds (0.90%).
BSE HealthCare index closed up by 62.39 points at 3,769.45 as Orchid Chem 4.41%, Fortis Health 3.41%, Dr Reddy Lab 3.13%, Nicholas Piramal 2.38%, Aurobindo Pharma 2.47% closed in green.
BSE Auto index fell by 83.03 points to close at 5,024.67 as Hero Honda (5.56%), Maruti Suzuki (2.70%), M&M (2.24%), Bajaj Auto (2.24%) and Tata Motors (1.87%) closed in red.
BSE Bankex index closed lower by 173.31 points at 10,937.60. Losers are Axis bank 2.80%, Union bank 2.43%, HDFC bank 2.14%, SBI 1.90%, Kotak bank 1.85% and ICICI bank 1.69%.
Market Close: Wobbling with no clear direction
Volatile session for the India market with nothing big to support. Indian counterparts the Asian Indices traded weak for the day. Indices kept wobbling on both side through the day with no clear direction. Midcaps and small caps continued to keep Investors interest as compared to the heavyweights. Metal, power and realty were among gainers while IT, banking and auto sector witnessed the selling pressure. All power stocks traded strong with the news of Reliance power getting listed in 11 Feb 08. Markets seem to be in the consolidation mood after recovering from recent fall. European indices are trading in red.
Sensex ended up by 4 points at 18663.16. It was helped up by gains in NTPC (223.1,+4 percent), Ranbaxy (387.25,+4 percent), Dr Reddys (544.45,+3 percent), Hindalco (181.95,+2 percent) and TISCO (817.8,+2 percent). Restricting the gains are Hero Honda (726.8,-6 percent), TCS (949.45,-3 percent), Maruti (872.35,-3 percent), Bajaj Auto (2404,-2 percent) and Wipro (454.3,-2 percent).
Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) one of India's leading software company has asked 400 employees, who had an experience of less than 2 years to resign. Just a couple of weeks ago there were reports that TCS had cut salaries. TCS has announced a pay which is EVA linked and it is clear that salary revisions this time will bring in much disappointment to the software employees. Few days back there were reports that IBM had laid off 700 employees. We recall that Zensar had similar talk couple of months ago. We are aware that Infosys has also seen some pink slips. Most of these are attribued as employees / trainees not upto mark. But clearly suggest that life is not as hunky dory as it seems to be. The software employees have been spoilt given the strong demand scenario which prevailed. What has hit them is not only the no hikes but the gains on their stock option which have gone down. Clearly employee satisfaction will be an issue to handle. We believe that with US, the largest geographical client facing serious slowdown. Software stocks are best avoided for now.
Technically Speaking: Markets ended flat after wild swing with no clear direction. Sensex made an intra day high of 18730 and low of 18510. The breadth was in favor of Advances as there were 1907 Advances against 882 Declines. Market turnover still remains low at Rs 5301crs. We maintain our Sensex target of 19200. More stocks are moving into the pullback rally. Sensex support stands at 18500 and 18300 level. Resistance lies at 18750 and 18860.
Indices close flat; PSU, metal outperform
A day after the Sensex gained over 400 points on sustained all-round buying, the market was gloomy amid a range-bound trend during intra-day trades. After shedding 67 points to yesterday's close, the market slipped further in the afternoon, as investors tracked weak Asian indices, with the Sensex tumbling below the 18,550 mark to touch the day's low of 18,510. Along with the selling in heavyweights, the major correction in auto, banking and IT stocks also weighed on the indices. However, select buying in public sector units (PSU) and metal stocks towards the close saw the Sensex enter into the green. The Sensex finally closed the session with a gain of three points at 18,663, while the Nifty moved up by 20 points at 5,484.
However, the broader market was positive. Of the 2,835 stocks traded on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) 1,915 stocks advanced, 869 stocks declined and 51 stocks ended unchanged.
The BSE Metal index led the surge in the sectoral indices on the BSE and rose 2.16% at 16,794. The BSE HC index, the BSE Oil & Gas index, the BSE Power index, the BSE PSU index and the BSE Realty index were the other notable gainers, while the BSE Auto index, the BSE Banking index and the BSE IT index ended weak.
Buying was led by NTPC, which notched up gains of 4.03% at Rs223. Among the other gainers Ranbaxy advanced 3.78% at Rs387, Hindalco added 1.93% at Rs182, Tata Steel moved up 1.87% at Rs818, Cipla jumped by 1.81% at Rs203, HDFC gained 1.78% at Rs3,070 and ONGC was up 1.78% at Rs1,074. However, TCS, Maruti Suzuki, M&M, Bajaj Auto, Wipro and HDFC Bank were down over 2% each.
Over 2.20 crore RNRL shares changed hands on the BSE followed by Ispat Industries (1.91 crore shares), IFCI (1.52 crore shares), Tata Teleservices (1.08 crore shares) and Reliance Petroleum (93.77 lakh shares).
Valuewise, Reliance Communications registered a turnover of Rs414 crore on the BSE followed by RNRL (Rs330 crore), Jindal Steel (Rs187 crore), Future Capital (Rs164 crore) and Reliance Petroleum (Rs163 crore).
Small-cap, mid-cap indices outperform Sensex
The market ended flat after moving between positive and negative zone. The market recovered from weak start caused by weak global cues. Reliance Industries edged higher. Auto, banking and IT stocks fell while power and metal stocks edged higher. The market breadth was strong.
European markets which opened after Indian markets were subdued in early trade. Asian markets, which opened before Indian markets, were mostly lower.
Liquidity may get a boost from huge refunds that investors will get from Reliance Power IPO though it remains to be seen how much money comes to secondary market in the light of immense volatility witnessed on the bourses last month. Reliance Power, which raised a record $3 billion in its initial share sale in January 2008, said on Friday, 1 February 2008, it had begun refunding excess application money to investors. The initial public offer had received bids for $190 billion.
The 30-share BSE Sensex rose a meagre 2.84 points or 0.02% at 18,663.16. Sensex hit a high of 18,729.83 in morning trade. At the day's high, Sensex gained 69.51 points. Sensex touched a low of 18,509.54 in initial trade. At day’s low it shed 150.78 points.
The broader based CNX S&P Nifty was up 20.4 points or 0.37% to 5,483.90.
BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 5301 crore, compared to Rs 5764.15 crore on Monday, 4 February 2008.
Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5495, at a premium of 11.10 points as compared to spot closing of 5483.90.
The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 31,121.35 crore, which was lower than Rs 40,169.33 crore on Monday, 4 February 2008.
The BSE Mid-Cap index was up 0.83% at 8,071.29. BSE Small-Cap was up 1.01% at 10,466.78. Both these indices outperformed Sensex.
The market breadth was strong: on BSE 1,900 advanced as compared to 887 that declined. 35 stocks remained unchanged. 16 out 30 stocks from the Sensex pack were in green.
Metal stocks rose. Jindal Steel & Power (up 13.25% to Rs 2,586.35), Hindalco Industries (up 1.93% to Rs 181.95) edged higher.
Tata Steel, world's sixth largest steel maker, rose 1.87% to Rs 817.80. Tata Steel has reportedly lost its bid to buy the rights to iron ore reserves in Liberia to the Johannesburg-based Delta Mining Consolidated Company.
National Aluminium Company (down 1.58% to Rs 413.85) and Sterlite Industries (down 1.37% to Rs 836.30) edged lower.
Auto stocks declined. India's biggest car maker in terms of sales, Maruti Suzuki India declined 2.7% to Rs 872.35. Maruti Suzuki may reportedly launch a Rs 1.5 lakh car by end of this year or early 2009 to challenge Tata Motors' Nano. According to reports, it will have a Suzuki 660cc engine - as against Nano's 623cc - and wear a tag of around Rs 1.5 lakh on road (excluding insurance). Nano is expected to be Rs 1.25 lakh on road.
Tata Motors, India's top commercial vehicles maker in terms of sales, declined 1.87% to Rs 755.50. Tata Motors is reportedly satisfied with the progress of negotiations with US carmaker Ford Motor Company to buy British marquee brands Jaguar and Land Rover. The deal is expected to cost $2 billion.
Hero Honda Motors declined 5.56% to Rs 726.80, Bajaj Auto fell 2.24% to Rs 2,404 and Mahindra & Mahindra slipped 2.24% to Rs 680.55.
Banking stocks declined. India’s largest private sector bank by assets ICICI Bank fell 1.69% to Rs 1,189.80. The company has reportedly decided to split its home loans business between itself and an unit called ICICI Home Finance Company. The bank will fund home loans of up to Rs 20 lakh, with the unit handling the rest.
HDFC Bank declined 2.14% to Rs 1,515.10 and State Bank of India fell 1.9% to Rs 2,228.35.
Shares in software services exporters took a beating due to a gloomy economic outlook in the United States, which contributes to more than half of their revenue. Tata Consultancy Services (down 2.72% to Rs 949.45), Wipro (down 2.14% to Rs 454.30 and Infosys (down 1.91% to Rs 1,611.25) edged lower. Satyam Computer Services rose 0.22% to Rs 438.20.
Healthcare stocks rose. Ranbaxy Labotatories (up 3.78% to Rs 387.25), Sun Pharmaceuticals (up 1.39% to Rs 1,123.60), Cipla (up 1.81% to Rs 202.95) and Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (up 3.13% to Rs 544.45) edged higher.
India’s largest private sector firm by market capitalization and oil refiner Reliance Industries rose 0.9% to Rs 2,616. The Bombay High Court will hear petitions on the gas supply dispute between Reliance Industries and Reliance Natural Resources on Tuesday, 5 February 2008.
India’s largest engineering & construction firm by revenue Larsen & Toubro rose 1.28% to Rs 3,855.05.
Among the Sensex gainers, NTPC rose 4.03% to Rs 223.10.
Reliance Communications declined 1.17% to Rs 677 despite Ministry of Communications & Information Technology, Government of India, granting approval to Reliance Telecom (RTL), a wholly owed subsidiary of the company, for providing CDMA services in Assam and North East service areas.
Jindal Steel & Power rose 13.25% to Rs 2,586.35. The scrip topped gainers in BSE's A group shares. Neyveli Lignite surged 12.11% to Rs 167.10. It was the second biggest gainer from A group. Escorts rose 9.63% to Rs 101.90. It was the third biggest gainer from A group. Sobha Developers rose 8.74% to Rs 868.60. It was the fourth biggest gainer from A group. IndusInd Bank rose 7.85% to Rs 110.60. It was the fifth biggest gainer from A group.
Reliance Natural Resources clocked highest turnover of Rs 330.81 crore on BSE. Reliance Communications (Rs 414.41 crore), Reliance Petroleum (Rs 163.91 crore), NTPC (Rs 110.69 crore) and Ispat Industries (Rs 87.33 crore) were other turnover toppers in that order.
Reliance Natural Resources clocked highest volume of 2.2 crore shares on BSE. Ispat Industries (1.91 crore), IFCI (1.52 crore) Tata Teleservices (1.08 crore) and Reliance Petroleum (93.77 lakh) were other volume toppers on BSE in that order.
European markets were weak. France’s CAC 40 (down 0.82% to 4,932.93), Germany’s DAX (down 0.44% to 6,969.43) and UK’s FTSE 100 (down 0.55% to 5,993.10) edged lower.
Asian stocks slipped on Tuesday, 5 February 2008 after a wave of broker downgrades on Wall Street on Monday, 4 February 2008, sparked fresh worries about the health of the US financial sector. In Asia, key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, China, Japan and Singapore were down by 0.82% to 1.55%. However, South Korea's Seoul Composite index was up 0.38%.
US stocks closed lower on Monday on profit taking and analyst downgrades of major financial institutions, including American Express and Wells Fargo. The Dow Jones industrial average lost 108.03 points, or 0.85% at 12,635.16 on Monday, 4 February 2008. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 14.60 points, or 1.05%, at 1,380.82. The Nasdaq Composite Index shed 30.51 points, or 1.26%, at 2,382.85.
Poll Results - I am buying ...
I am buying ..
Largecaps 256 (57%)
Midcaps 218 (48%)
Smallcaps 87 (19%)
TOTAL Votes : 445
Morning Call - Feb 5 2008
Market Grape Wine :
In House :
Nifty at a supp of 5270 and 5405 with resis at 5505 and 5578.Long positions can be held on with a SL of 5050 on Nifty.
Nifty likely to inch up to 5630 and 5949 thereafter
Cash: Buy Indian bank above 213.50 with a TGT of 225 and a SL of 209.40
Sell SAIL below 225 with a TGT of 215 and a SL of 228
F&O: Buy ABB above 1228 with a TGT of 1275 and a SL of 1209
Buy Parsavnath above 292 with a TGT of 305 and a SL of 286
Out House :
Markets at a support of 18118 & 18282 levels with resistance at 18786 & 18976 levels .
Buy : RIL & Satyam
Buy : INFY
Buy : SBIN & Kotak
Buy : JPASSO
Buy : Praj & IBullsReal
Buy : SKumar & Aban
Buy : Geship
Buy : BajaHind & Balrampur
Buy : JSW & Sail at dips
Dark Horse : Sail , IBullreal ,Geship , Prime , IOlBroad , Aban , , RIL , Sbin , & Educomp
Market may remain weak
After witnessing a jump of over 400 points in yesterday's trades, the market is likely to remain shaky on weak global markets. Also FIIs and domestic mutual funds remaining net sellers may keep the sentiment bearish. Among the key domestic indices, the Nifty may get support at 4800 and may test higher levels at 5600. The Sensex has a likely support at 16000 and on the upside could test 18700 levels.
US Indices tumbled on Monday, on weakness in financial sector and the continued threat of a recession. While the Dow Jones tumbling by 108 points to close at 12635. The Nasdaq declined 31 points on weak tech stocks and closed at 2383.
The Indian ADRs had a mixed outing on the US bourses. Patni Computer jumped 6.17% and MTNL surged by 4.88% while, Satyam, Wipro, Tata Motors, VSNL and Rediff gained around 1% each. However, HDFC Bank slipped 2.98%, ICICI Bank dropped 2.92%, Infosys fell 1.86% and Dr Reddy's Lab was down 1.58%.
Crude oil prices gained further, with the Nymex light crude oil for March series moved up by $1.06 to close at $90.02 a barrel. In the commodity segment, the Comex gold for April delivery slumped $4.10 to settle at $909.40 an ounce.
Trading Calls for the day
Buy Reliance Communication with SL of Rs 625 for a target of Rs 815
Buy Mphasis with a stop loss of Rs 250 for short term target of Rs 320
Buy PNB with a Stop Loss of Rs 640 for a target of Rs 850
Grey Market - EMAAR MGF, OnMobile Global and more
Reliance Power 450 160 to 165
Emaar MGF 540 to 630 40 to 45
J. Kumar Infraprojects 110 Discount
Cords Cable Ind. 135 5 to 7
KNR Construction 170 Discount
Onmobile Global 440 18 to 20
Bang Overseas 207 15 to 20
Shriram EPC 290 to 330 Discount
IRB Infra
185 to 220
30 to 40
Wockhardt Hospital*
225 to 260
10 to 15
Manjushree Extrusion
45
3 to 4
Tulsi Extrusions
80 to 85
10 to 11
SVEC Construction
85 to 95
5 to 7
Market may drift lower on weak global cues
The market may drift lower on weak global cues. Asian stocks slipped on Tuesday, 5 February 2008 after a wave of broker downgrades on Wall Street on Monday, 4 February 2008, sparked fresh worries about the health of the US financial sector.
On the flip side, liquidity may get a boost from huge refunds that investors will get from Reliance Power IPO though it remains to be seen how much money comes to secondary market in the light of immense volatility witnessed on the bourses last month. Reliance Power, which raised a record $3 billion in its initial share sale in January 2008, said on Friday, 1 February 2008, it had begun refunding excess application money to investors. The initial public offer had received bids for $190 billion.
It also remains to be seen if the strong domestic liquidity will offset selling by FIIs. FIIs sold shares worth a huge Rs 13035.70 crore last month amid ongoing credit crisis in the US and in the backdrop of US recession fears looming large.
As per provisional data, FIIs bought shares worth a net Rs 163.74 crore on Monday, 4 February 2008. Local funds bought shares worth Rs 731.83 crore on that day.
FIIs were net buyers to the tune of Rs 2,012.81 crore in the futures & options segment on Monday, 4 February 2008. According to data released by the NSE, FIIs were net buyers of index futures to the tune of Rs 1,599.22 crore and bought index options worth Rs 677.95 crore. They were net sellers of stock futures to the tune of Rs 254.74 crore and sold stock options worth Rs 9.61 crore.
In the next few days, stock/sector specific activity may rule the roost depending on expectations from the Union Budget 2008-09 which will be presented at the fag end of this month.
In Asia, key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, China, Japan, South Korea and Singapore were down by between 0.29% to 1.99%. The Dow Jones industrial average lost 108.03 points, or 0.85% at 12,635.16 on Monday, 4 February 2008. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 14.60 points, or 1.05%, at 1,380.82. The Nasdaq Composite Index shed 30.51 points, or 1.26%, at 2,382.85.
US Market back in its loss making mood
All three indices end in red led by financials and retail stocks
Led by Financial and Retail stocks, US Market was back to its loss making mood today, Monday, 04 February, 2008. This was expected from the market, given the huge gains it posted last week. Continued weakness in big-cap technology issues also weighed heavily on the broader market. A downgrade of financials stocks also spurted today’s sell-off.
The Dow Jones industrial Average ended the day with a huge loss of 108 points at 12,635. The Nasdaq Composite Index, finished lower by 30.5 points at 2,383. S&P 500 finished lower by 14.6 points at 1,380.82. Twenty-three out of thirty Dow stocks ended in the red today. American Express led the team of Dow laggards. Merck, Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson were few of the Dow winners.
The Factory Orders report for December was the lone economic release today. Although the reported 2.3% increase by the Commerce Department was a bit shy of the consensus estimate of 2.5%, it marked acceleration from the 1.7% growth rate reported for November. Moreover, it provided an indication that there still isn't much evidence of a recession in manufacturing.
UBS helped ignite the selling activity today after it gave a Sell rating on consumer finance companies Discover Financial Services, Capital One and American Express on concerns about a consumer-led recession. In a related move, Merrill Lynch also cut Wells Fargo and Wachovia Securities.
As a follow-up to the Microsoft-Yahoo story, The Wall Street Journal reported Monday that Google offered Yahoo! its help in fending off Microsoft if it so desired.
Indian ADRs ended mixed today. Apart from MTNL, VSNL and Patni Computers, all other Indian ADRs ended in the red today. Patni and MTNL shares gained 6% and 4% respectively.
Crude prices gained for today with mixed economic data sending mixed signals across the economy. Prices also gained as Turkish planes attacked suspected Kurdish insurgent bases. Crude-oil futures for light sweet crude for March delivery today closed at $90.02/barrel (higher by $1.02/barrel or 1.2%) on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices are 53% higher than a year ago. Earlier it fell to a low of $88.7/barrel.
Trading volumes showed 1.3 billion shares exchanging hands on the New York Stock Exchange, with declining issues topping gainers by a ratio of 3 to 2. On the Nasdaq, 2.0 billion shares traded, with decliners topping gainers by 4 to 3.
Tomorrow's economic report of focus is the ISM non-manufacturing survey. The report garners interest from investors and economists seeking insight into the health of the economy's service sector.
Pre Session Commentary - Feb 5 2008
The Indian Market is likely to have a negative opening due to weak cues from the global markets. On Monday, the market galloped during the trading session to close with handsome gains on the back of heavy buying across the sectoral indices scrips. The market opened on a firm note taking the favoring cues from the global markets and march forward to gains further grounds during the session. But the market lost some of its gains after the mid session as the market was unable to sustain at higher levels due to selling pressures. The Mid Caps and Small Caps also joined the rally of the benchmark indices as they also faced most buying across the counters. The BSE Sensex closed higher by 417.74 points at 18,660.32 while NSE Nifty closed up by 146.25 points at 5,463.50. We expect that the market may remain cautious during the trading session.
The government on Monday has postponed the cabinet meeting for a decision on hiking petrol and diesel prices and the cabinet will decide on this very shortly.
On Monday, the US market closed in red. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed lower by 108.03 points at 12,635.16. S&P 500 index fell by 14.60 points to close at 1,380.82 and NASDAQ dropped by 30.51 points to close at 2,382.85.
Indian ADRS ended in mixed. In technology sector, Patni Comp grew by (6.17%) along with Satyam by (0.81%) and Wipro by (0.55%) while Infosys fell by (1.86%). In banking sector, HDFC bank and ICICI bank slipped by (2.98%) and (2.92%) respectively. MTNL increased by (4.88%).
The major stock markets in Asia are trading weak. Hang Seng is trading lower by 331.15 points at 24,700.93 along with Japan''s Nikkei trading down by 171.69 points at 13,688.04 and Singapore Starit Times trading at 3,055.91 down by 21.17 points.
Today, Nifty has support at 5,341 and resistance at 5,526 and BSE Sensex has support at 18,172 and resistance at 18,835.
Trading Calls - Feb 5 2008
Nifty (5464) Supp 5200 Ress 5600
Buy Indraprastha Gas (157) SL 153 Target 167, 170
Buy IOC (524) SL 519
Target 534, 538
Buy ITC (205) SL 201
Target 215, 218
Sell STAR (164) SL 168
Target 154, 151
Sell Peninsular Land (91) SL 95
Target 87, 85
Topsy turvy Tuesday
Stoop and you'll be stepped on; stand tall and you'll be shot at.
A swinging day lies in store and bulls and bears may know not what to do. After having been at the receiving end of the bear onslaught for the past several days, the bulls fought back on Friday and followed that up with another stellar performance on Monday. What is heartening about the advance is that the rally was more broad based. Volumes too picked up. Also, FIIs were net buyers, albeit only marginally while local funds continued their buying spree. The big question on everybody's minds is whether the bulls can sustain this momentum and take the key indices to previous lifetime peak or anywhere near it?
Today, we expect a flat to lower opening on the back of the overnight losses in US shares and some weakness in Asian markets. Intra-day gyrations are here to stay. Be careful while buying into these spurts if you cannot hold on to your position for long. As always, long-term investors need not worry as yet.
Given the uncertainty over the US economy and its global ramifications, one should still be a little bit cautious. A few days gains can easily be wiped out if Wall Street goes through another bad day. But, that's still conjecture. The best way to tackle the current volatility is to take each day as it comes rather than try and look too much ahead.
The long-term India story remains intact, but whether we can completely decouple from the world is debatable. In any case, we seem to have two different stories going on - one is the India growth story and one is the India market story. One has to be able to distinguish between the two to protect one's investments against wild fluctuations in the stock market.
Most Asian markets are trading down this morning. The Nikkei in Tokyo was down 171 points at 13,688 while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong dropped 471 points to 24,560. The Kospi in Seoul was flat at 1688 while the Straits Times in Singapore fell by 32 points to 3044 and the Shanghai Composite in China shed 91 points to 4580.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index lost 1% to 146.80 at 11:16 a.m. in Tokyo, halting a three-day, 5% rally that lifted the benchmark yesterday to the highest since Jan. 15. The S&P/ASX 200 Index declined 1.2% in Australia, where the central bank is expected to raise interest rates to an 11-year high today. Benchmarks retreated in all other markets open for trading. Taiwan is closed for a holiday.
US stocks slumped on Monday, following last week's big rally, as investors considered analyst downgrades of the financial sector and the looming threat of a recession. Technology shares gave back some of their strong gains on Friday. Concerns that consumer spending will slow also dragged down retailers.
Analysts told investors to sell American Express, Wells Fargo and Wachovia Corp. on concern that a recession will worsen defaults among consumers. American Express slumped after UBS said US unemployment will rise, reducing profits. Wells Fargo and Wachovia, the fourth- and fifth-largest US banks, dropped the most in seven years after Merrill Lynch said loan losses may increase.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 14.6 points, or 1.1%, to 1,380.82 after rallying 4.9% last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 108.03 points, or 0.9%, to 12,635.16. The Nasdaq Composite Index retreated 30.51 points, or 1.3%, to 2,382.85.
Market breadth was negative. Almost seven stocks declined for every four that advanced on the New York Stock Exchange.
Treasury prices slumped, raising the corresponding yields. The dollar was mixed versus other major currencies. US light crude oil for March delivery rose $1.06 to settle at $90.02 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. COMEX gold for April delivery fell $4.10 to $909.40 an ounce.
In economic news, the December factory orders index rose more than expected. Orders rose 2.3%, the government reported, topping forecasts for a rise of 2%. Orders rose 1.7% in November. However, the report did little to alleviate concerns about the economic slowdown following surprisingly weak jobs report.
After the close, News Corp. reported higher quarterly earnings that met estimates. Tuesday's lone economic report is the ISM's January reading on the services sector of the economy.
European stocks closed slightly higher. The pan-European Dow Jones Stoxx 600 index closed up 0.2% at 329.13, with industrials in the lead amid a mix of analyst moves, earnings and bargain hunting.
Of national indexes, the German DAX 30 index ended 0.5% higher at 7,000.49, the French CAC-40 index dipped 0.1% to 4,973.64 and the UK's FTSE 100 index closed down 0.1% at 6,026.20.
Among the emerging markets, the RTS index in Russia climbed 2.2% to 2012 while the ISE National-30 index in Turkey jumped 2.9% to 57,329. Markets in Brazil and Mexico were shut for holidays.
Can bulls pull off hat-trick?
Bulls started off the week in style as markets ended the day in positive territory. Firm cues from the Asian markets coupled with strong buying momentum in the index pivotals lifted the BSE benchmark Sensex to a high of 18,895.
However, key indices faced stiff resistance as profit booking dragged the markets to a low of 18,439 in mid-afternoon session. But bulls made a strong come back led by gains in the heavyweights like Rcom, RIL, Infosys and SBI.
Finally, the 30-share Sensex closed at 18,660, gaining 417 points or 2.2%. The NSE Nifty gained 146 points to close at 5,463.
Yes Bank gained 1.6% to Rs257 after the Board of Directors of the company announced that it would meet on February 15 to mull raising capital via QIP of 2 cr shares. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs270 and a low of Rs255 and recorded volumes of over 11,00,000 shares on NSE.
Simplex Infra ended on a flat note at Rs628. The company announced that it won order worth Rs2.87bn. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs686 and a low of Rs621 and recorded volumes of over 56,000 shares on NSE.
Parsvnath gained by over 6.5% to Rs287 after the company announced that it entered into an agreement with ITC to manage 50 hotels. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs291 and a low of Rs275 and recorded volumes of over 25,00,000 shares on NSE.
Rcom rallied by over 12% to Rs686 after media reports stated that the company filed share sale documents for its unit. REL Infratel would offer 8.9 cr shares via IPO. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs699 and a low of Rs624 and recorded volumes of over 95,00,000 shares on NSE.
Prithvi Info advanced 6.8% to Rs327 after the company declared that it won Rs3bn order from BSNL. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs333 and a low of Rs310 and recorded volumes of over 2,00,000 shares on NSE.
Gujarat Ambuja gained by over 4% to Rs124 after the company announced its January sales rose 4% to 1.55mn tons. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs125 and a low of Rs119 and recorded volumes of over 6,00,000 shares on NSE.
Hindustan Dorr-Oliver gained 2.2% to Rs148 after the company declared that it secured Rs820mn order. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs160 and a low of Rs144 and recorded volumes of over 13,000 shares on NSE.
Videocon Industries edged higher by 0.3% to Rs439 following reports that the company is planning to diversify into power generation. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs459 and a low of Rs430 and recorded volumes of over 7,00,000 shares on NSE.
Hindustan Oil Exploration surged by over 4% to Rs103. Reports stated that the company had no plans to delist the company from Indian bourses. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs108 and a low of Rs101 and recorded volumes of over 8,00,000 shares on NSE.
Elecon Engineering spurred by over 9% to Rs219 after the company announced that it secured order worth Rs110mn. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs224 and a low of Rs205 and recorded volumes of over 4,00,000 shares on NSE.
IOB advanced by over 8.5% to Rs182 following reports that the company set a revenue target of Rs100bn from its overseas expansion, slated to take place over the next year. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs186 and a low of Rs171 and recorded volumes of over 5,00,000 shares on NSE.
For tomorrow, bulls may look to continue its momentum at least in the early trades’. However, markets may cool off later in the day as profit booking at higher levels cannot be ruled out. Also cues from the equity markets from across the globe would be tracked closely for direction.
FIIs were net buyers of Rs1.64bn (provisional) in the cash segment on Monday. Domestic Institutions were also net buyers of Rs7.32bn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net buyers of Rs20.13bn.
News Snippets:
The decks have finally been cleared for the likes of Bharti Airtel and Reliance Communications to provide IPTV services. (FE)
Reliance Industries and GMDC are planning to set up a JV to undertake lignite gasification in Gujarat and Rajasthan. (BL)
ICICI Bank will share its home loan business with its 100% subsidiary, ICICI Home Finance Co. The bank plans to finance home loans only up to Rs2mn while home loans above Rs2mn would be provided by IHFC. (BS)
ONGC is planning to invite bids for its second wind power project in Karnataka. It will invest nearly Rs6bn in the first phase of its wind energy foray for generating nearly 15,000 mw of power. (BS)
Rashtriya Ispat Nigam has sought the acquisition of the Bird Group of companies, including Orissa Mining Development Corporation, to secure iron ore reserves. (BS)
Tata Steel has lost its bid to buy the rights to iron ore reserves in Liberia to Johannesburg-based Delta. (ET)
The Supreme Court has cancelled Jindal Steel’s proposed JV with the Industrial Development Corporation of Orissa for the exploration of chromium deposits. (DNA)
GVK Power plans to set up a thermal power plant at Talwandi Sabo (1,800 mw) and another coal-based power plant near Rajpura (1,200 mw). (BS)
GVK Power plans to bid for airport projects in Europe and USA. (Mint)
Hindustan Unilever plans to sell shrimps business in Kerala. (DNA)
The TDSAT has stayed an order passed by TRAI asking telecom operator Tata Teleservices to refund the excess amount collected from customers. (BS)
Tata Teleservices and Virgin Group are aiming to launch Virgin Mobile in the first week of March. (Mint)
Essar Shipping is raising ~US$1bn through a mix of equity and quasi-equity instruments. (ET)
Reliance Communications to offer lifetime connection for Rs199 against current charges of Rs649. (ET)
KEC International has formed a 50:50 JV with US-based Power Engineers and floated a new firm called KEC Power. (ET)
Voltas is likely to bag a large overseas order worth Rs6-8bn. (DNA)
MRF’s Tiruvottiyur factory, which has been shut for a month now over a productivity dispute, will be reopened on Tuesday. (BS)
SEL Manufacturing Company has decided to foray into technical textiles and plans to invest Rs6.5bn in the project. (BS)
Page Industries plans to expand its manufacturing capacity by 30% to produce 74mn pieces per annum vs 57mn pieces. (BS)
Hindustan Copper has raised the provisional prices for February by 6.73% with immediate effect. (BS)
Lok Housing has proposed to issue 5mn convertible warrants on a preferential basis to three promoter entities at a conversion price of Rs354 per share. (BL)
Bank of Rajasthan has hiked interest rate on term deposits of some maturities. (BL)
Ceat will finalize its plans on setting up a greenfield truck-bus radial facility this month. The company has also increased prices. (BL)
Jindal Saw expects its infrastructure, transportation and fabrication (ITF) subsidiary to contribute around 50% of the company’s top line by 2012. (BL)
Koutons Retail India plans to foray into China by the end of this year. (BL)
Sasken Communication may buy Nokia’s R&D unit in Germany. (BL)
Cambridge Technology Solutions is evaluating two more potential candidates based in the US and expects to close one of them in February. (BL)
The Shyam Group of Industries plans to set up an integrated steel and power plant at Jamuria near Asansol in West Bengal for around Rs99bn. (BL)
Plethico Pharma is pursuing three acquisitions in the over the-counter and functional food space overseas. (DNA)
Wanbury has picked up a minority stake in Bravo Healthcare. (DNA)
Eni UK to make open offer for 20% in HOEC. (ET)
Yes Bank is planning to raise up to Rs7bn through issuance of two crore fresh equity shares. (ET)
Emaar MGF is planning to spin off its hospitality business. (ET)
GM is likely to up its stake in its Chinese venture SAIC-GM-Wuling Automobile Co. to take on Nano. (ET)
Cable operators get I&B Ministry’s nod for IPTV. (ET)
Price of more than 7,000 drugs classified as ‘essential medicines’ is likely to fall post-Budget . (ET)
Budgetary support likely to jump 17%; railways, urban infrastructure and power may see cut in share. (ET)
One year extension of credit subvention is likely for leather, textile, marine and handicrafts sector, 2% export sop may stay. (ET)
Real estate developers constructing energy efficient buildings may get tax breaks. (ET)
Economic Front Page:
Indian tea production is likely to rise by 4.25% to ~980mn kg in 2008. (ET)
IRDA has changed the definition of infrastructure sector to align it with that of the RBI. This will lead to insurance funds flowing to the infrastructure space. (BS)
The global coffee production in the crop year 2006-07 increased by 14% to 125mn bags. (BS)
A decline in acreage and a spurt in global prices have pushed up edible oil rates by 10% in the last one month. (BS)
Over 81% of the overall planned private investments of US$104bn by India Inc in Q3 FY08 have gone into core, physical and service infrastructure. (BL)
The Government is likely to allow the float of sovereign debt paper to investors in overseas markets. (FE)
Japan Bank of International Cooperation (JBIC) has showed interest in giving development assistance loan to hydro-power projects in India. (FE)
Preparing for the goods and services tax regime from 2010, the government is likely to leave excise duty rates untouched in the budget. (FE)
Gold and silver drop again
Gold and silver prices slip again as dollar stays steady
Bullion metals dropped for the second consecutive day today, Monday, 4 February, 2008. Pries fell as dollar remained relatively steady against its rivals. Silver prices also ended considerably lower for the day. Traders speculated that dollar will rally in the coming months.
Gold generally moves in the opposite direction of the U.S. currency. Gold, as a dollar-denominated commodity, suffers from dollar strength.
Comex Gold for April delivery fell $4.1 (0.44%) to close at $909.4 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange after hitting an intraday low of $896. earlier in the day. Last Wednesday, 30 January, 2008 prices had hit a high of $941 in the after hours trading. This year, prices have gained 9.3% till date. In Janauary, prices gained 11%, the highest monthly gain since April 2006. Last week, gold prices closed lower by $2.7 (0.3%) against previous close of $916.1.
Comex Silver futures for March today fell by 9 cents (0.5%) to $16.780 an ounce. Silver has gained 12.8% in 2008. The metal had climbed 16% in FY 2007. The metal also has gained for seven straight years. In January itself, prices climbed 14%.
Gold has traditionally been used as a safe-haven asset against rising inflation. Investor sentiments are boosted by the fact that gold and silver are alternate sources of good investment in the face of declining dollar and rising energy prices. Rising crude increases inflationary pressures and vice versa. On the other hand strong dollar reduces the appeal of the metal as alternate source of investment.
In the currency markets today, the dollar traded mixed against other major currencies, declining against the euro and the British pound and rising against the Japanese yen. The dollar index, which tracks the performance of the greenback, edged down 0.1% at 75.355.
In the energy market today, crude oil rose more than a dollar to settle at $90.02/barrel.
On 31 January, 2008, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates 0.5% point to 3% today. This was on top of the 75 bps rate cut to 3.5% that Fed did earlier this year. The interest rate cuts are to avoid the US economy from plunging into recession.
Gold witnessed the greatest annual gain in twenty eight years by gaining $200/ounce (31%) in FY 2007. In 2006, silver had jumped 46% while gold gained 23%.
Gold had climbed 31% ($200/ounce) in FY 2007 as lower interest rates had sent the dollar tumbling, and crude-oil prices rose to a record. The Fed reduced federal funds rate three times in FY 2007.
At the MCX, gold prices for February delivery closed higher by Rs 30 (0.26%) at Rs 11,578 per 10 grams. Prices rose to a high of Rs 11,623 per 10 grams and fell to a low of Rs 11,420 per 10 grams during the day’s trading.
At the MCX, silver prices for March delivery closed Rs 34 (0.16%) higher at Rs 21,467/Kg. Prices opened at Rs 21,513/kg and fell to a low of Rs 21,125/Kg during the day’s trading.
Crude gains on mixed economic report
Prices gain for first time in three sessions
Crude prices gained for today, Monday, 4 February, 2008 with mixed economic data sending mixed signals across the economy. Prices also gained as Turkish planes attacked suspected Kurdish insurgent bases.
Crude-oil futures for light sweet crude for March delivery today closed at $90.02/barrel (higher by $1.02/barrel or 1.2%) on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices are 53% higher than a year ago. Earlier it fell to a low of $88.7/barrel.
The Commerce Department reported today that U.S. factory orders jumped by 2.3% in December, more than expectation. Also, U.S. corporations announced 74,986 job reductions last month, up from December's 44,416 and 19% higher compared with the previous January.
Crude had ended FY 2007 substantially higher by $35 or 57%. It was crude’s biggest yearly gain in five years.
Brent crude oil for March settlement today rose $1.03 (1.2%) to $90.47 on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The London benchmark rose 54% in FY 2007, the most since 1999 when prices more than doubled.
Natural gas rose today, erasing earlier declines, as the prices of alternative forms of energy advanced. Natural gas for March delivery rose 12.9 cents (1.7%) to settle at $7.869 per million British thermal units. Gas is 3.1% higher than a year ago.
Against this backdrop, March gasoline gained 2.83 cents at $2.3117 a gallon, and March heating oil rose 3.44 cents at $2.4833 a gallon.
Last week, Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries decided to keep current output levels unchanged.
At the MCX, crude oil for February delivery closed at Rs 3,555/barrel, higher by Rs 58 (1.6%) against previous day’s close. Natural gas for February delivery closed at Rs 310.9/mmtbu, higher by Rs 5.7/mmtbu (1.9%).
V-Guard Industries sets IPO price band
At Rs 80 - Rs 85 a share
V-Guard Industries has fixed the price band for its initial public offering between Rs 80 - Rs 85 per share.
The company is offering 76 lakh shares to the public in addition to 4 lakh shares reserved for employees. The issue constitutes 26.8% of the fully diluted post-issue capital of the company.
Tata Steel, DLF, RNRL February 2008 futures at premium
Turnover in F&O segment increases
Nifty February 2008 futures were at 5478, at a premium of 14.50 points as compared to spot closing of 5463.50.
The NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 40,169.33 crore, which was higher than Rs 35,830.69 crore on Friday, 1 February 2008.
Reliance Natural Resources (RNRL) February 2008 futures were at premium, at 144.50, compared to the spot closing of 143.90.
Tata Steel (TSL) February 2008 futures were at premium, at 808.50, compared to the spot closing of 802.15.
DLF February 2008 futures were at premium, at 898, compared to the spot closing of 884.20.
In the cash market, the S&P CNX Nifty gained 146.25 points or 2.75% at 5463.50.
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