BSE Bulk Deals to Watch - July 4 2008

Deal Date Scrip Code Company Client Name Deal Type * Quantity Price **
4/7/2008 532981 ANU LABS VIDHYA TEXTURISERS PVT LTD S 91203 337.60
4/7/2008 532994 ARCHIDPLY IN EUREKA STOCK AND SHARE BROKING SERVICES LTD B 131822 53.55
4/7/2008 532994 ARCHIDPLY IN R M SHARES TRADING PVT LTD B 292304 53.63
4/7/2008 532994 ARCHIDPLY IN PRABHUDAS LILLADHER PVT. LTD. B 138357 53.64
4/7/2008 532994 ARCHIDPLY IN N D NISSAR B 201931 53.84
4/7/2008 532994 ARCHIDPLY IN BHANDARI RAKHI KALPESH B 228365 51.94
4/7/2008 532994 ARCHIDPLY IN EUREKA STOCK AND SHARE BROKING SERVICES LTD S 130822 53.61
4/7/2008 532994 ARCHIDPLY IN R M SHARES TRADING PVT LTD S 292304 53.76
4/7/2008 532994 ARCHIDPLY IN PRABHUDAS LILLADHER PVT. LTD. S 138357 53.78
4/7/2008 532994 ARCHIDPLY IN N D NISSAR S 201931 53.87
4/7/2008 532994 ARCHIDPLY IN BHANDARI RAKHI KALPESH S 228365 52.10
4/7/2008 532995 AVON WEIGH PRABHUDAS LILLADHER PVT. LTD. B 98568 10.77
4/7/2008 532995 AVON WEIGH N D NISSAR B 165495 10.53
4/7/2008 532995 AVON WEIGH PRABHUDAS LILLADHER PVT. LTD. S 98568 10.82
4/7/2008 532995 AVON WEIGH N D NISSAR S 165495 10.57
4/7/2008 532995 AVON WEIGH SANJAYKUMAR SUSHIL RANJAN DHAR S 200688 10.14
4/7/2008 532995 AVON WEIGH AARAV FINANCIAL SERVICES PVT LTD S 101694 10.33
4/7/2008 532995 AVON WEIGH VICKY RAJESHBHAI JHAVERI S 120564 10.30
4/7/2008 532995 AVON WEIGH SAGAR RAJESHBHAI JHAVERI S 174038 10.30
4/7/2008 532989 BAFNA PHARMA PR VYAPAAR PRIVATE LIMITED B 200000 29.25
4/7/2008 532322 ELDER PHARMA INDARTS EXPORTS PVT.LTD. B 100000 302.00
4/7/2008 532322 ELDER PHARMA DARSHAN FINVEST PVT.LTD. B 332000 302.00
4/7/2008 532322 ELDER PHARMA MORGAN STANLEY MAURITIUS CO LTD S 348416 302.01
4/7/2008 532823 EURO CERAMIC RAMESH UTTAMCHAND RAMCHANDANI B 150000 119.99
4/7/2008 532823 EURO CERAMIC ABHISHEK FINCAP SERVICES PVT LTD S 139510 120.15
4/7/2008 532022 FILAT FASH AUM TECHNOCAST PVT. LTD B 131031 25.99
4/7/2008 532022 FILAT FASH KISHOR B GIRI S 291031 25.75
4/7/2008 512237 JAI CORP LIM QUANTUM M LIMITED B 1639495 282.00
4/7/2008 512237 JAI CORP LIM MORGAN STANLEY MAURITIUS CO LTD S 1942184 283.74
4/7/2008 500219 JAIN IRRI SY QUANTUM M LIMITED B 2735911 442.90
4/7/2008 500219 JAIN IRRI SY MORGAN STANLEY MAURITIUS CO LTD S 2234242 442.00
4/7/2008 505840 JAIPAN INDUS VISAGAR POLYTEX LIMITED B 30804 42.23
4/7/2008 531602 KOFF BR PICT LAXMI CAP BROKING PVT LTD B 37030 21.71
4/7/2008 531602 KOFF BR PICT LAXMI CAP BROKING PVT LTD S 29692 21.55
4/7/2008 532985 KOTAK SENSEX PRABHUDAS LILLADHAR ADVISORY S 60847 131.00
4/7/2008 500256 LOK HOUSI CO RAJU JESHINGLAL DOSHI S 480000 47.24
4/7/2008 512047 NATRAJ FIN SITA ENTERPRISES LIMITED S 30000 35.70
4/7/2008 532986 NIRAJ CEMENT AYODHYAPATI INVESTMENT PVT. LTD B 150387 98.80
4/7/2008 532986 NIRAJ CEMENT BHAVARLAL BABULAL JAIN B 78924 98.93
4/7/2008 532986 NIRAJ CEMENT AYODHYAPATI INVESTMENT PVT. LTD S 150387 98.95
4/7/2008 532986 NIRAJ CEMENT BHAVARLAL BABULAL JAIN S 78924 94.50
4/7/2008 532791 PYRAMID SAIM HARDIK M MITHANI B 262613 182.40
4/7/2008 532791 PYRAMID SAIM HARDIK M MITHANI S 262613 181.44
4/7/2008 532884 REFEX REFRIG BHARATKUMAR PARMAR S 145000 208.90
4/7/2008 523236 SHRENUJ &COM SWISS FINANCE CORPORATION MAURITIUS LTD S 2441000 25.00
4/7/2008 526479 SKY INDUSTRI SHAMBHO CONSTRUCTION PRIVATE LTD S 23743 57.31
4/7/2008 532343 TVS MOTOR L KOTAK MAHINDRA UK AC SANDSTONE CAPITAL INDIAMASTER FUND B 4754922 25.00
4/7/2008 532343 TVS MOTOR L FIDELITY TRUSTEE CO P LTD AC FIDELITY EQUITY FUND S 3268891 25.00
4/7/2008 531404 ZICOM ELE SE KBS TRADING PVT LTD B 100000 133.00
4/7/2008 531404 ZICOM ELE SE GKK CAPITAL MARKETS PVT L S 100000 133.00

NSE Bulk Deals to Watch - July 4 2008

Date,Symbol,Security Name,Client Name,Buy/Sell,Quantity Traded,Trade Price / Wght. Avg. Price,Remarks
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,ASTUTE COMMODITIES & DERIVATIVES Pvt Ltd,BUY,180762,53.11,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,CHOKHANI SECURITIES LTD,BUY,162458,53.21,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,DEVANG MAHENDRA SHAH,BUY,114755,53.75,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,NISSAR BROTHERS,BUY,243230,53.13,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,PUJA TAPARIA,BUY,184977,51.38,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,R.M. SHARE TRADING PVT LTD,BUY,352330,54.27,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,RAVI KUMAR,BUY,110645,53.02,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,SANGEETA KAKANI,BUY,148288,52.78,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,SANJAY BHANWARLAL JAIN,BUY,164291,53.97,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,SANTOSHCHAND JAIN,BUY,125315,53.66,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD.,BUY,370668,54.71,-
04-JUL-2008,INGVYSYABK,ING Vysya Bank Limited,TEMPLETON MUTUAL FUND A/C FRANKLIN INDIA FLEXI CAP FUND,BUY,837936,196.00,-
04-JUL-2008,NAGARFERT,Nagarjuna Fert & Chem,CLEAN FINANCE & INVESTMENT LTD,BUY,3488533,30.46,-
04-JUL-2008,SAREGAMA,Saregama India Ltd.,BNK CAPITAL MARKETS LTD.,BUY,280000,93.00,-
04-JUL-2008,SAREGAMA,Saregama India Ltd.,JAYSHREE NIRMAN LTD.,BUY,280000,93.00,-
04-JUL-2008,SASKEN,Sasken Commu Techno Ltd,MBL & COMPANY LTD.,BUY,256349,132.49,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,ASTUTE COMMODITIES & DERIVATIVES Pvt Ltd,SELL,174762,53.40,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,CHOKHANI SECURITIES LTD,SELL,162458,53.18,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,DEVANG MAHENDRA SHAH,SELL,114755,52.97,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,NISSAR BROTHERS,SELL,243230,53.27,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,PUJA TAPARIA,SELL,184977,54.92,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,R.M. SHARE TRADING PVT LTD,SELL,352330,54.28,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,RAVI KUMAR,SELL,110645,53.09,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,SANGEETA KAKANI,SELL,148288,53.02,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,SANJAY BHANWARLAL JAIN,SELL,164291,54.27,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,SANTOSHCHAND JAIN,SELL,125315,53.48,-
04-JUL-2008,ARCHIDPLY,Archidply Industries Limi,TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD.,SELL,370668,54.07,-
04-JUL-2008,AZTECSOFT,Aztecsoft Limited,INDIA DIVERSIFIED (MAURITIUS) LIMITED,SELL,234178,74.50,-
04-JUL-2008,INGVYSYABK,ING Vysya Bank Limited,FIDELITY MUTUAL FUND A/C - FIDELITY EQUITY FUND,SELL,965130,196.00,-
04-JUL-2008,NAGARFERT,Nagarjuna Fert & Chem,CLEAN FINANCE & INVESTMENT LTD,SELL,3488533,30.50,-
04-JUL-2008,NAGARFERT,Nagarjuna Fert & Chem,SIMPLICITY AB A/C SIMPLICITY INDIEN,SELL,4120000,30.06,-
04-JUL-2008,SAREGAMA,Saregama India Ltd.,FIDELITY INVESTMENT SERVICES LTD,SELL,560000,93.00,-
04-JUL-2008,SASKEN,Sasken Commu Techno Ltd,MBL & COMPANY LTD.,SELL,258549,132.64,-

Indian cell services market to top US$37bn by 2012

Total cellular services revenue in India is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18 percent from 2008-2012 to exceed US$37 billion, according to Gartner, Inc. The India mobile subscriber base is set to exceed 737 million connections by 2012 growing at a CAGR of 21 percent in the same period. This growth is poised to continue through the forecast period, and India is expected to remain the world’s second largest wireless market after China in terms of mobile connections.

"The growth in the mobile subscriber base is on the back of a rapidly proliferating rural market, lower handset costs, and low tariff rates in the Indian market," said Madhusudan Gupta, senior research analyst at Gartner. "Rural telephony will continue to trigger growth and is expected to grow fourfold during the forecast period. Call rates have further dropped to about 1.5 cents per minute narrowing the gap with fixed-line rates. These factors along with an increasing competitive landscape will fuel market growth and encourage the adoption of wireless services in the rural and semi urban provinces of India."

Cellular market penetration is projected to increase from 19.8 percent in 2007 to 60.7 percent in 2012 (see Table 1). Gartner analysts said this growth could be primarily attributed to the increasing focus on the rural market, local consumer durable and electronic companies entering the domestic mobile handset segment, and lower handset prices. Vendors will continue to focus on sub-25$ handsets to capture market share.

Long Term Picks - July 4 2008

Buy JP Associates

Buy IDFC

Buy Reliance Infra

Buy i-flex

Buy Sasken

Weekly Newsletter - July 4 2008

Every week we hope to tell you the worst is over. But half the year has passed by and the market only seems to be weakening. The only spurts (which are unwelcome) include crude oil prices and inflation.

Crude could see some short-term resistance at higher levels. The inflation numbers are moving more or less as expected now. The positive factor could be the results season which kicks off especially towards the end of the week. The grim scenario in recent months has lowered expectations of market participants including the analysts. If corporate India manages to spring some surprise, a lot of negatives will (for the time being) get ignored.

On Friday Infosys will announce its results. Expectations are that the company may slightly raise its guidance. The actual numbers may more or less get discounted. Another expectation is that the software bellwether would do well on the hedging front too. If global cues lend some support, we may well be headed for a positive close.

SP to bailout Congress on nuke deal

Samajwadi Party (SP) supremo Mulayam Singh Yadav and party general secretary Amar Singh met Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh to discuss the Indo-US nuclear deal. It was not clear as to what transpired during the meeting, but one thing was certain that former President Dr. APJ Abdul Kalam's endorsement of the nuke deal could well prove to be a critical factor in determining which way the pendulum swings. Yadav met Kalam to seek his views on the Indo-US nuke deal. The former President is learnt to have told the SP chief that the deal is in the interest of the country.

The two SP leaders were also likely to meet Congress President Sonia Gandhi and may announce their stand on the nuke deal only after getting the backing of their fellow UNPA partners, who are against any kind of alliance with the Congress. The Congress party is cozying up to the SP as the Left parties have threatened to withdraw their support if the Government goes ahead with talks with the IAEA on India-centric safeguards. The SP has 39 seats in the Lok Sabha while the Left has 59 members.

Meanwhile, the Left front held a meeting to finalise their gameplan once the Government announces its decision to take the next step on the nuke deal. CPM boos Prakash Karat announced that the communist parties will launch a national campaign from July 14, to explain to the people their opposition to the India-US civil nuclear deal. Karat also said that the Left parties have written a letter to External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee, seeking confirmation on w

Oil hits new record; eyes US$150/bbl

Crude oil touched a new record high after a US government report revealed a larger than expected drop in inventories and tension continued between Israel and Iran. Anxiety over the US employment report and an impending rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB) also added fuel to the fire. However, crude oil fell from near a record after reports that Iran will respond to an offer from leading countries to persuade the Islamic nation to drop its nuclear program. The simmering tension in the Middle East will subside if indeed Iran decides to stop nuclear research. On Friday, crude oil for August delivery fell as much as US$1.41, or 1%, to US$143.88 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, in London trading. The contract had touched a new record high of US$145.85 on Thursday.

The Energy Information Administration's weekly inventory report showed that crude supplies fell slightly more than expected while gasoline stockpiles unexpectedly rose. The EIA said US oil stockpiles dropped to the lowest since January. Meanwhile, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said prices will climb to US$150 per barrel. He said in Moscow that high oil prices may slow global economic growth. Russia is the world's second-largest oil producer after Saudi Arabia. The US jobs report was mostly in line with forecasts and the dollar seemed to withstand the rate increase by the ECB. The ECB raised its benchmark refinancing rate, currently at 4%, by a quarter percentage point to check inflation, which touched 4% in June, more than double the central bank's target of just less than 2%. The US financial markets were shut on Friday on account of July 4 holiday.

Post Session Commentary - July 4 2008

The domestic market concluded today’s session in green with a smart recovery from yesterdays’ losses. Market did not reacted to weak European market and inflation rate, which touched a fresh high of 11.63% for the week ended 21st June 2008 as against 11.42% of the previous week. The domestic market tumbled at opening but soon started to recover and extended its gains to close in positive territory on the back of buying interest from the beaten down sectors like realty, capital goods, power, banking and oil stocks. The BSE Sensex closed above 13,400 points today and NSE Nifty above 4,000. All indices except Metal closed in green and among those Capital Goods, Reality, Power Oil & Gas and Bank stocks outperformed the benchmark index as witnessed most of the buying pressure. The Capital Goods and Reality indices closed with gain of more than 6%. The market breadth was positive as 1696 stocks closed in green while 898 stocks closed in red and 83 stocks remained unchanged.

The BSE Sensex closed higher by 359.89 points at 13,454.00 and NSE Nifty ended up by 90.25 points at 4,016.00. The BSE Mid Caps and Small Cap closed positive with gain of 116.48 points and 100.50 points at 5,278.24 and 6,449.57 respectively. The BSE Sensex touched intraday high 13,509.74 of and intraday low of 13,027.79.

Gainers from the BSE are Reliance Com Ltd (12.50%), JP Associated (10.65%), DLF Ltd (8.56%), BHEL (7.43%), Reliance Infra (7.21%), L&T Ltd (6.53%), HDFC (6.20), Ranbaxy Lab (4.75%),ICICI Bank Ltd (4.67%) and Ambuja Cement (3.89%).

The Capital Goods index gained 679.27 points to close at 10,686.55. Major gainers are Punj Lloyd (14.14%), Alstom Proje (13.23%), Siemens Ltd (11.27%), Areva (9.07), Crompton Greaves (8.48%) and Suzlon Energy (7.34%).

The Reality Index closed higher by 335.13 points at 4,630.35. Gainers are Ansal Infra (13.59%) along with Housing Development (12.88%), Penland Ltd (10.08%), Mahindra Life (9.72%), DLF Ltd (8.56%) and Unitech Ltd (7.79%).

The Banking index closed up by 173.04 points at 5,820.83. Gainers are Indian Overseas Bank (6.60%), Yes Bank (5.48%), Kotak Bank (4.88%), ICICI Bank Ltd (4.67%), Axis Bank (3.42%), and Allahabad Bank (3.18%).

The Oil & Gas index closed higher by 143.69 points at 9,066.16. As Reliance Natural Resources (8.75%), Essas Oil Ltd (6.49%), Aban Offshore (2.77%), Reliance Petroleum (2.06%) and ONGC (1.99%) closed in positive territory.

The Power Index closed higher by 132.61 points at 2,306.24. Gainers are Siemens Ltd (11.27%) along with Tata Power (9.08%), Areva (9.07), Crompton Greaves (8.48%), Suzlon Energy (7.34%), Reliance Infra (7.21%) and ABB Ltd (6.02%).

The Metal index closed down by 75.91 points at 12,037.64. Lossers are Tata steel (2.64%), Sterlite In (2.38%), Maharashtra Seamless (1.04%), Sesa Goa Ltd (1.04%), Gujarat Nre C (0.79%) and Bhushan Steel (0.75%).

Market to take cues from global equities; Infosys results eyed

Domestic bourses are likely to track movement in global equities for direction. Volatility is also likely to continue in coming week. In the near term focus may shift to earnings season as IT bellwether Infosys Technologies kickstarts June 2008 quarter earnings season on Friday, 11 July 2008.

However tough macro economic environment comprising high inflation, record high global crude oil prices and rising interest rates will continue to weigh on the sentiment in near term.

Sustained selling of Indian stocks by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) has also dented market sentiment. FII outflow outflow in calendar year 2008 totaled Rs 26571 crore (till 3 July 2008).

India's wholesale price index rose 11.63% in the 12 months to 21 June 2008, a 13-yeat high, and above previous week's annual rise of 11.42%, government data released on 4 July 2008 showed. Experts opine that the double-digit inflation is here to stay for some more time, but could trend down from September 2008. On 24 June 2008, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised the cash reserve ratio (the proportion of bank deposits parked with the RBI) and the repo rate (the rate at which RBI lends to banks) by 50 basis points each, as part of monetary tightening to check inflation.

On the positive side, India's monsoon has been 21% above average so far this season. A normal monsoon may lift farm production, which accounts for a fifth of the economy, and cool the nation's fastest inflation rate in 13 years.

The market will also keep a close watch on developments on the political front. The Indian government is seeking support from the Samajwadi Party (SP), a key regional party in Uttar Pradesh to retain power at a time when Left parties are on the verge of withdrawing support. SP party leaders on Friday, 4 July 2008, met Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and hinted that they would approve the deal.

SP has 39 seats in parliament, compared with 59 for the communist parties. The Congress-led ruling coalition needs the support of 44 lawmakers to reach a majority. It would try and win the other five seats from smaller parties. SP is likely to announce its decision on supporting the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government in a couple of days

Communist parties on Friday, 4 July 2008, said the government must tell them by Monday, 7 July 2008, if it plans to press ahead with the next step in a controversial civilian nuclear deal with the United States. Left parties have threatened to end their backing for the government if it seeks approval for the deal from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the next international move needed to operationalise the pact.

The key benchmark indices slumped to 15-month low in choppy trade to register seventh straight weekly loss in the week ended Friday, 4 July 2008. The barometer index BSE Sensex lost 348.22 points or 2.52% to 13,454 in the week ended Friday, 4 July 2008. The S&P CNX Nifty lost 120.65 points or 2.91% to 4,016 in the week.

From a record high of 21,206.77 hit on 10 January 2008, Sensex has lost 7752.77 points or 36.55%. It has shed 6832.99 points or 33.68% in calendar year 2008 thus far from its close of 20286.99 on 31 December 2007.

Market registers seventh straight weekly loss

The key benchmark indices slumped to 15-month low in choppy trade as a political rift over nuclear deal, soaring crude oil prices, high inflation and sustained selling by by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) depressed market sentiment. A number of stocks and sectoral indices tumbled to 52-week low.

The barometer index BSE Sensex lost 348.22 points or 2.52% to 13,454 in the week ended Friday, 4 July 2008. The S&P CNX Nifty lost 120.65 points or 2.91% to 4,016 in the week.

From a record high of 21,206.77 hit on 10 January 2008, Sensex has lost 7752.77 points or 36.55%. It has shed 6832.99 points or 33.68% in calendar year 2008 thus far from its close of 20286.99 on 31 December 2007.

The BSE Mid-Cap index declined 280.51 points or 5.04% to 5,278.24 in the week. The BSE Small-Cap index slumped 488.40 points or 7.03% to 6,449.67 in the week. The BSE Mid-Cap and BSE Small-Cap indices slumped to 52-week lows of 4970.47 and 6938.07 respectively during the week.

FII outflow outflow in calendar year 2008 totaled Rs 26571 crore (till 3 July 2008).

Mutual funds bought shares worth a net Rs 347.49 in the first three days this month. They had pumped Rs 3179.20 crore in Indian equity market in June 2008.

Trading for the week started on bearish note as high inflation, rising interest rates, record high oil prices and political concerns haunted the markets. The 30-share BSE Sensex plunged 340.62 points or 2.47% at 13,461.60 and the broader based S&P CNX Nifty was down 96.1 points or 2.32% at 4,040.55 on Monday 30 June 2008.

Sell-off on the bourses continued on Tuesday, 1 July 2008, pulling key benchmark indices below psychological levels - the barometer index BSE Sensex fell below 13,000 mark and the S&P CNX Nifty fell below 4,000. The 30-share BSE Sensex plunged 499.92 points or 3.71% at 12,961.68 and the broader based S&P CNX Nifty was down 158.8 points or 3.56% at 3,896.75, on that day.

The market staged a solid rebound on Wednesday, 2 July 2008 with the 30-share BSE Sensex clocking its biggest intra-day gain since 25 March 2008. The 30-share BSE Sensex surged 702.94 points or 5.42% at 13,664.62 and the broader based S&P CNX Nifty rose 196.6 points or 5.05% at 4,093.35 on that day. Both the niche indices had struck 15-month low in intra-day trade on that day. The Sensex hit a low of 12,822.75 and Nifty had hit a low of 3,848.25.

A surge in oil price to a record high above $144 a barrel and overnight fall in US stocks weighed on the investor sentiment on Thursday, 3 July 2008. The 30-share BSE Sensex slumped 570.51 points or 4.18% at 13,094.11 and the broader based S&P CNX Nifty was down 167.6 points or 4.09% at 3,925.75, on that day.

The market rallied on Friday, 4 July 2008, shrugging off higher inflation on hopes a political turmoil arising from Indo-US nuclear deal may be averted. The 30-share BSE Sensex rose 359.89 points or 2.75% at 13,454 and the broader based S&P CNX Nifty was up 90.25 points or 2.30% at 4016, on that day.

India’s largest private sector company in terms of market capitalisation and oil refiner Reliance Industries (RIL) fell 3.80% to Rs 2,099 in the week.

India’s second largest telecom services provider by sales Reliance Communications (RCom) fell 7.46% to Rs 438.20. The stock hit a 52-week low of Rs 381.05 during the week. As per reports, Mukesh Ambani-controlled Reliance Industries (RIL) on Thursday, 3 June 2008 shot off another letter to Reliance Communications (RCOM) invoking a right of first refusal (RoFR). A copy of the letter was also sent to South African telco MTN with which RCOM is negotiating a deal, the exact contours of which are not yet clear.

India’s largest commercial vehicle maker by sales Tata Motors plunged 10.74% to Rs 400.85. The stock hit a 52-week low of Rs 383 during the week. The company said high input costs, rising interest rates and slowing demand would dent sales of commercial and passenger vehicles in the year to March 2009.

Banking and financial stocks were in action during the week. India's largest dedicated housing finance company HDFC said on Monday, 30 June 2008, its prime lending rate would go up by 50 basis points from Tuesday, 1 July 2008. The stock rose 0.13% to Rs 2055.45 in the week. It struck a 52-week low of Rs 1750.15 during the week.

India's largest private bank in terms of net profit ICICI Bank said rates on consumer loans would rise by 75 basis points. The stock lost 8.03% to Rs 600.65 in the week. The stock hit a 52-week low of Rs 551.30 during the week. Both HDFC and ICICI Bank also raised deposit rates between 50-100 basis points.

India’s largest commercial bank State Bank of India fell 2.88% to Rs 1127.50. The stock hit a 52-week low of Rs 1007 during the week. On 26 June 2008, the bank raised its benchmark prime lending rate by 50 basis points to 12.75% after the central bank aggressively tightened policy in the face of surging inflation.

India's largest oil exploration company in terms of market capitalisation ONGC gained 5.56% to Rs 876.30. The company has reportedly discovered a new oil field in the Farsi oil bloc of the Persian Gulf. ONGC will undertake the development of the newly discovered field upon determining that its development is economically feasible.

Capital goods stocks advanced on fresh buying. India’s largest engineering and construction firm by sales Larsen & Toubro rose 4.97% to Rs 2379.85. The stock hit a 52-week low of Rs 2100 during the week. The company received an order wroth Rs 1,557 crore from Andhra Pradesh Power Development Company for the supply of steam turbine generators.

India's biggest power equipment maker in terms of revenue, Bharat Heavy Electricals advanced 8.68% to Rs 1500.30 after securing an order exceeding Rs 2080 crore for a 400-megawatt thermal power project in Syria.

IT stocks were mixed. Satyam Computer Services (up 5.08% to Rs 462.15), and Infosys (up 2.80% to Rs 1755.40), gained. However Wipro (down 3.05% to Rs 429.10), and Tata Consultancy Services (down 2.48% to Rs 843.75) edged lower.

Sejal Architectural Glass, a glass processing house in India, settled at Rs 81.50 on 1 July 2008, a discount of 29.13% over the issue price of Rs 115 per share.

On 3 July 2008, Avon Weighing Systems, maker of platform scales and weighbridges, settled at Rs 11.90, a 19% premium over its issue price of Rs 10.

On 4 July 2008, Archidply Industries, engaged in the business of wooden interior products, settled at Rs 50.45, a discount of 31.82% over the initial public offer price of Rs 74.

India's wholesale price index rose 11.63% in the 12 months to 21 June 2008, above the previous week's annual rise of 11.42%, government data released on 4 July 2008 showed.

As per reports, India's monsoon has been 21% above average so far this season. A normal monsoon may lift farm production, which accounts for a fifth of the economy, and cool the nation's fastest inflation rate in 13 years.

Communist parties on 4 July 2008 said the government must tell them by Monday, 7 July 2008, if it plans to press ahead with the next step in a controversial civilian nuclear deal with the United States. Left parties have threatened to end their backing for the government if it seeks approval for the deal from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the next international move needed to operationalise the pact.

Left parties also decided to launch a national campaign from 14 July 2008 to explain its opposition to the nuclear deal and over runaway inflation.

The government is seeking support from the Samajwadi Party (SP), a key regional party in Uttar Pradesh to retain power at a time when Left parties are on the verge of withdrawing support. SP party leaders today met Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and hinted that they would approve the deal

SP has 39 seats in parliament, compared with 59 for the communist parties. The Congress-led ruling coalition needs the support of 44 lawmakers to reach a majority. It would try and win the other five seats from smaller parties

Meanwhile, visiting US Congressman Gary Ackerman informed that India will have to complete all formalities by September 2008 if it wanted the Indo-US civilian nuclear energy cooperation agreement to go through since the presidential elections in the US will be held in November 2008. He added that the progress was slow at the moment.

Sensex garners 360 points on hopes nuclear deal will fructify

Bull were back in action as they shrugged off data showing rise in inflation. Some good news on the political front also provided solace to investors. As per provisional data, foreign funds today, 4 July 2008, bought shares worth a net Rs 372.35 crore. Domestic funds sold shares worth a net Rs 97.02 crore.

Blue chips bounced back. Mid-cap and small-cap stocks also recovered. Realty, capital goods and power counters which had declined sharply in the past few days were at the forefront of today's rebound. Reliance Communication, India's second biggest mobile services firms by market capitalisation surged.

Hopes that a political turmoil arising from Indo-US nuclear deal may be averted helped recovery on the bourses today. The Indian government is seeking support from the Samajwadi Party (SP), a key regional party in Uttar Pradesh to retain power at a time when Left parties are on the verge of withdrawing support. SP party leaders today met Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and hinted that they would approve the deal.

SP has 39 seats in parliament, compared with 59 for the communist parties. The Congress-led ruling coalition needs the support of 44 lawmakers to reach a majority. It would try and win the other five seats from smaller parties. SP is likely to announce its decision on supporting the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government in a couple of days

Communist parties today, 4 July 2008, said the government must tell them by Monday, 7 July 2008, if it plans to press ahead with the next step in a controversial civilian nuclear deal with the United States. Left parties have threatened to end their backing for the government if it seeks approval for the deal from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the next international move needed to operationalise the pact.

Left parties also decided to launch a national campaign from 14 July 2008 to explain its opposition to the nuclear deal and over runaway inflation.

India's wholesale price index rose 11.63% in the 12 months to 21 June 2008, above the previous week's annual rise of 11.42%, government data released today afternoon showed.

Oil, India's biggest import, rose to a fresh record high above $145 per barrel on Thursday, 3 July 2008. The US oil settled up $1.72 at $145.29 a barrel on Thursday.

The 30-share BSE Sensex rose 359.89 points or 2.75% at 13,454. At the day’s high of 13,509.74, the Sensex gained 415.63 points in late trade. Sensex lost 66.32 points at the day's low of 13,027.79, hit in early trade.

The broader based S&P CNX Nifty rose 90.25 points or 2.30% at 4016. Nifty July 2008 futures were at 3965.25, at a discount of 50.75 points as compared to the spot closing. NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 44222.2 crore, which was lower than Rs 51604.28 crore on Thursday, 3 July 2008.

The BSE Mid-Cap index was up 2.26% at 5,278.24, while the BSE Small-Cap index was up 1.58% at 6,449.67.

The market breadth was strong on BSE, with 1696 gainers outpacing 898 losers. 83 stocks remained unchanged.

BSE clocked a turnover Rs 5604 crore as against Rs 5,645.90 on Thursday, 3 July 2008.

India’s second largest listed cellular service provider Reliance Communication rose 12.50% at Rs 438.20. As per reports, Mukesh Ambani-controlled Reliance Industries (RIL) on Thursday, 3 June 2008 shot off another letter to Reliance Communications (RCOM) invoking a right of first refusal (RoFR). A copy of the letter was also sent to South African telco MTN with which RCOM is negotiating a deal, the exact contours of which are not yet clear.

India’s largest private sector firm by market capitlisation Reliance Industries rose 1.35% at Rs 2099.

India’s largest private sector bank by assets ICICI Bank rose 4.67% at Rs 600.65.

India’s second largest software exporter by sales Infosys Technologies rose 0.43% at Rs 1755.40.

Diversified firm Jaiprakash Associates spurted 10.65% at Rs 153.30.

Realty stocks were in demand. DLF (up 8.56% at Rs 414.55), Unitech (up 7.79% at Rs 166), and Indiabulls Real Estate (up 6.83% at Rs 279.30), soared. The BSE Realty index outperformed the Sensex, rising 7.80% at 4,630.35.

Capital Goods stocks catapulted. Punj Lloyd (up 14.14% at Rs 228.40), Bharat Heavy Electricals (up 7.43% at Rs 1,500.30), and Larsen & Toubro (up 6.53% at Rs 2,379.85), flared up. The BSE Capital Goods index outperformed the Sensex, rising 6.79% at 10,686.55.

Power stocks moved higher. Tata Power (up 9.08% at Rs 1,097.95), Areva T&D (up 9.07% at Rs 1,419.50), and Reliance Infrastructure (up 7.21% at Rs 773.55), edged higher. The BSE Power index outperformed the Sensex, rising 6.10% at 2,306.24.

Wooden interior products maker Archidply Industries settled at Rs 50.45, a discount of 31.82% over the initial public offer price of Rs 74. The stock touched a high of 74.55 and a low of Rs 48.80.

Abrasives maker Carborundum Universal rose 2.97% to Rs 125 after the company entered into an agreement with Foskor (Proprietary), South Africa to acquire 51% stake in Foskor Zirconia (Proprietary), Phalaborwa, South Africa, for an undisclosed sum.

Pharmaceuticals products maker Panacea Biotec spurted 8.99% to Rs 303 after the company announced its foray into healthcare delivery by entering into a collaboration to set up a 220 bed multi speciality hospital in the National Capital Region, Gurgaon.

Irrigation equipments maker Jain Irrigation Systems advanced 4.93% to Rs 458.25 after a block deal of 25.45 lakh shares was struck on the counter at Rs 442 per share by 10:06 IST on BSE

Brigade Enterprises rose 3.17% to Rs 104.05 after the company said it has won an auction bid of 10.5 acres of land of ERL, a division of BPL on the Old Madras Road, Bangalore.

Low cost carrier Spicejet spurted 7.76% at Rs 25 on reports Kingfisher Airlines is close to sealing a share-swap deal with the Delhi-based low-cost carrier. The share swap is expected to be in the ratio of 1:3, where SpiceJet shareholders will get one share of the merged entity for every three SpiceJet shares owned by them.

Jewellery maker Gitanjali Gems rose 13.85% at Rs 267.10 on reports the company plans to buy US-based retail chain Whitehall Jewellers Holdings, which recently filed for bankruptcy. The deal, if concluded, would be between Rs 350 - Rs 400 crore.

Auto components maker Amtek Auto jumped 4.60% at Rs 227.30 on reports Private equity firm Chrys Capital has reportedly acquired close to 7% in the company for Rs 229 crore via open market purchases in the past three months. The sellers included Citigroup, CLSA and Copthall.

Reliance Natural Resources clocked highest volume of 2.96 crore shares on BSE. IFCI (1.41 crore shares), Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals (1.23 crore shares), Archidply Industries (1.13 crore shares), and Reliance Petroleum (1.12 crore shares), were the other volume toppers on BSE in that order.

Reliance Capital reported a highest turnover of Rs 505.08 crore on BSE. Reliance Industries (Rs 447.58 crore), Reliance Infrastructure (Rs 259.87 crore), Reliance Natural Resources (Rs 190.33 crore), were the other turnover toppers on BSE in that order.

European market, which opened after Indian markets, were in red. Key benchmark indices in Germany, France and UK were down by 0.37% to 0.76%.

Asian stocks were mixed today. Key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, and Singapore were up by between 0.42% to 0.85%. Key benchmark indices in China, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea were down by between 0.21% to 2.24%.

US market ended mixed on Wednesday, 3 July 2008 as the payrolls data in the United States was not as weak as some had feared and with another record oil price boosting energy shares. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 73.03 points, or 0.65%, at 11,288.54. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index added 1.38 points, or 0.11%, at 1,262.90. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 6.08 points, or 0.27%, at 2,245.38

Market may remain volatile

The market may witness cautious trend as US indices ended flat yesterday and Asian indices are exhibiting mix trends in the morning trades. Investors should maintain caution as profit taking at higher levels may pull down the market. Among the local indices the Nifty could test 3875 and 3850 on the downside while on the upper side it may move up to 3965. The Sensex has a likely support at 12935 and may face resistance at 13200.

US indices ended mixed on Thursday. While the Dow Jones gained by 73 points to close at 11289, the Nasdaq ended 6 point lower at 2245.

Crude prices surged Thursday to a new trading record near $146 a barrel as the summer maintenance season for the North Sea oil fields begins to squeeze European supplies. The Nymex light crude oil for August delivery adding $1.72 to close at $145.29 a barrel. In the commodity space, the Comex gold for August series declined $12.90 to settle at $933.60.

Asian markets open negative

Most of the Asian markets declined in the initial session of trade on Friday (July 04), on speculation that rising crude oil prices will reduce companies` profits. Hang Seng and Straits times are trading in positive.

Kansai Electric Power declined the most among power producers after oil prices rose above USD145 a barrel.

Japanese benchmark index Nikkei lost 40.87points, or 0.31%, to trade at 13,224.53.

Hong Kong`s index Hang Seng, advanced 196.19 points, or 0.92% to trade at 21,438.97.

China`s Shanghai Composite lost 1.89 points, or 0.07%, to trade at 2,701.64

Taiwan`s index Taiex lost 29.58 points, or 0.40%, to trade at 7,364.52.

South Korea`s KOSPI declined 11.70 points, or 0.73%, to trade at 1,594.84.

Singapore`s Straits Times rose 10.11 points, or 0.35%, to trade at 2,890.56. (8.15 a.m., IST)

MTN - Reliance Communications deal to be announced on July 6th?

The latest industry buzz is that a deal between Anil Ambani’s Reliance Communications (RCom) and South Africa’s MTN may be announced on Sunday, July 6, which is the death anniversary of Dhirubhai Ambani.

The speculation has gained currency because, in 2006, Anil Ambani had announced his interest in acquiring a controlling stake in Hutch Essar on the birth anniversary of his father.

The 45-day exclusivity period for talks between RCom and MTN ends on July 8, and therefore, an announcement (either yes or no) could be announced anytime by then, sources pointed out. An extension of the exclusivity period, by as much as 30 days, cannot be ruled out either.

Following the feud between the Ambani brothers, the deal structure is believed to have been changed between MTN and RCom, as first reported in this newspaper on June 27. Instead of a proposed merger between the two, RCom is now looking at acquiring below 35% stake in MTN, sources said. RCom may tie up with investors, including sovereign wealth funds, to buy a stake in MTN.

Media reports have, however, indicated a share swap also. This would give the Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group the largest shareholding in MTN, thereby making RCom a subsidiary of MTN.

The merger talks between South Africa’s leading telco MTN and RCom seemed to be heading for a breakdown recently after Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Industries (RIL) sent a letter to MTN saying that his company had the first right of refusal on any deal involving sale of RCom. Subsequently, the share price of Reliance Communications fell significantly.

via DNDA

Morning Call - July 4 2008

Market Grape Wine :

In House :

Nifty at a support of 3850 and 3790 with aresist of 3983 and 4065

Inflation expected 11.49 and 12

Cash :

Sell : Aban below 2498 with a SL of 250

Sell: Essaroil below 166 tgt of 158 with aSL of 170

F&O:

Buy: Ioc above 172 with a tgt of 180 with aSL of 168

Buy: Sail above 132 tgt of 137 with a Sl of 120

Out House:

Markets at a support of 12786 & 12661 resistance at 13113 & 13254 levels .

Today US closed on account of American Independence Day 4 of July .

Inflation expected to 11.88 to 11.96 % for the week .

Buy : Infy & satyam at dips

Buy : NTPC at dips

Buy : Tisco at dips

Buy : RPL & RIl at dips

Buy : ONGC at dips

Buy : HLL

Buy : ITC

Dark Horse : NTPC , Ongc , RIL , Tisco , ITC & RPL

TGIF : Thank god Its Friday : Just waiting for the week to end : try to relax away from the market vagaries .