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Showing posts with label US Home Sales. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US Home Sales. Show all posts

Thursday, May 10, 2007

US Home Sales, Fed Rates



Attached is a chart on major housing indicators for the US - housing starts, new home sales and existing home sales. At a trend level (measured by the 12mma of month-on-month growth), all three are de-growing. The sharpest de-growth is visible housing starts, the most closely tracked housing indicator.

The National Association of Realtors' forecast seems to suggest that existing home sales de-growth maybe close to its bottom, new-home sales are likely to witness a far sharper slowdown going forward.

The Fed has noted the cooling off in the housing market . In its March FOMC statement it noted that " Recent indicators have been mixed and the adjustment in the housing sector is ongoing." In its statement for May, to be released at 11:45 pm India time today, it is likely to reiterate the slowdown in the housing market. Rising asset prices had been a key concern for the Fed when it started hiking rates in 2003.