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Tuesday, October 25, 2005

Prithvi Information Solutions - IPO


Focus on onsite work

Onsite work in the US contributes 90% of revenue and most of the software professionals are not its employees

Hyderabad-based Prithvi Information Solutions provides IT solutions to various industry verticals including technology, health care, manufacturing, BFSI, telecom, and e-governance, and services like application development, package implementation, re-engineering and maintenance.

The bulk of the customers are based in the US.

Promoted by US-based Ms V Madhavi and India-based V Satish Kumar in 1998, Prithvi Information Solutions has offices in the US, Canada, United Kingdom, and Singapore.

The proceeds of the current IPO will be utilised to set up an offshore delivery centre in Hyderabad at an estimated cost of Rs 91 crore and to meet the working capital requirement of Rs 49 crore and towards issue expenses of Rs 10 crore.

Strengths:

  • Prithvi Information Solutions has a balanced business mix, with no significant dependence on any single client. The largest client of the company contributes just 4% of the revenue. The Top 5 and top 10 clients contribute around 16% and 28% of the total revenue .At the end of FY 2005, the company had 55 active clients.
  • The top line has risen steadily at a CAGR of around 63% in the last five years, from Rs 26.53 crore in FY 2001 to Rs 305.12 crore in FY 2005. The bottom line has shown a CAGR of 29% to Rs28.85 crore, between FY 2001 to FY 2005.

Weakness:

  • Unlike most other Indian IT companies, Prithvi Information Solutions generates around 90% of its revenue from onsite. Though the revenue per capita is higher onsite, so is the expense. As a result, the company's operating profit margin (OPM), at 9.5% in FY 2005, is less than half of the industry composite average of 23.1%
  • Peculiarly, the company procures most of its manpower through vendor agreements. Thus, the people working on the company's projects are not its employees. As it does not have any long-term contract with such vendors, any disruption in service can have an adverse effect on the operational and financial performance.
  • Currently, the US market contributes 90% of the revenue, which is a geographical risk.
  • The company does not have any forward contract or hedging tools to combat the impact of currency fluctuation. Any unfavorable movement in the US dollar will put its financials under pressure as more than 90% of the revenue is billed in the US dollar.

Valuation:

In the last five year between FY 2001 to FY 2005, Prithvi Information Solutions's top line has grown at a decent pace, from Rs 26.53 crore in FY 2001 to Rs 305.12 crore in FY 2005. However, in the same period, the bottom line has not grown in the same pace on higher mix of onsite work in the total revenue, which reflects in OPM as well as the net profit margin (NPM), which have fallen drastically in the last five years. In FY 2001, OPM and NPM were around 30.6% and 30.2%, which came down to 9.5% and 9.4%, respectively, in FY 2005.

The offer price band of Rs 250-270 discounts FY 2005 EPS on post-issue equity by 15.7 to 17 times, which does not leave any scope for appreciation. However, in the quarter ended June 2005, the revenue stood at Rs 98.22 crore and net profit was Rs 10.24 crore, with OPM and NPM of 11% and 10.4%, respectively. The annualised first quarter EPS on post-issue equity works out to Rs 22.7.The offer price band of Rs 250-270 discounts this 11 to 12 times. The company has reversed the falling trend in OPM in the June 2005 quarter, just ahead of the IPO. It is necessary for it to sustain this uptrend, going forward, for continued investor interest in the scrip, post-listing

Monday, October 24, 2005

Motilal Oswal - Nicholas Piramal


Recommends Buy On Nicholas Piramal 235 With target Price 270

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Motilal Oswal - Cummins


Recommends Neutral On Cummins India @ 136  

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Motilal Oswal - Geometric Software


Recommends Neutral On Geometric Software @ 86 With Target Price 92

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Saturday, October 22, 2005

Motilal Oswal - Satyam Computers


Recommends Buy On Satyam Computer @ 588 With Target Price 675

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Motilal Oswal - Lupin


Recommends Buy On Lupin @ 736 With Target Price 875

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Motilal Oswal - Gujarat Ambuja


Recommends Buy On Gujarat Ambuja @ 66 With Target Price 74

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Friday, October 21, 2005

Motilal Oswal - Hexaware Technologies


Recommends Sell On Hexaware Technologies @ 106

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Motilal Oswal - Bharat Forge


Recommends Buy On Bharat Forge @ 326 With Target Price 347

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Motilal Oswal - Infotech Enterprises


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Motilal Oswal - Wipro


Recommends Buy On Wipro @ 369 With Target Price 437

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Dividend Yield - Oct 2005


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Motilal Oswal - Biocon


Recommends Buy On Biocon @ 495 With Target Price 520

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PBA Infrastructure - IPO


PBA Infrastructure
Narrow focus

The mainstay - road construction - is low margin and highly competitive and the presence in only state- Maharashtra- risky

PBA Infrastructure, incorporated as Prakash Building Associate Pvt Ltd in 1974, specialises in constructing roads. The company has envisaged that it will require Rs 32.12 crore to undertake road construction projects that is may bid for and bag. Of this, it plans to raise Rs 2.12 crore through internal accruals, Rs 10 crore will be earmarked as seed capital requirement for BOOT/BOT projects, Rs 10 crore for the purchase of machinery, and Rs 10.12 crore to enhance the working capital margin money.

Strengths

  • Road development is the largest and the fastest growing infrastructure segment. The value of contracts executed by PBA Infrastructure in the last five years exceeded Rs 350 crore. The projects were spread across the entire country. Currently, the company has an order book of Rs 564.01 crore, including Rs 172.42-crore orders received by its joint venture???.
  • The Mumbai-based company has a good track record in bagging and executing road projects in Maharashtra. In the current five year plan (10th plan) 2002-07, the plan outlay of Maharashtra for road projects, at Rs 1869 crore, is second after Delhi. Therefore, the company is strategically placed to get and implement road projects coming up in the state.

Weaknesses

  • Almost 90% of PBA Infrastructure's revenue comes from road projects, which are low margin and highly competitive.
  • The balance sheet of the company is inadequate for taking up large projects.
  • The company has considerable exposure to state-sponsored projects where credit risks are higher as compared to national-level and internationally financed projects. The significant business concentration in Maharashtra can pose a problem if the state's finances suffer.
  • The experience of the company in executing BOT/BOOT projects, which is subject to uncertainty, is negligible. The BOOT project revenue led NOIDA Tool Bridge Company is yet to show profit even after four years of execution of the project.

Valuation

In FY 2005, PBA Infrastructure's sales stood at Rs 124.32 core and net profit Rs 6.58 crore. EPS on post-issue equity works out to Rs 4.9. The issue price of Rs 60 discounts this 12 times. Due to its over-dependence on low margin run-of-the mill road projects and small size, the company may not get higher discounting. However, construction stocks have seen speculative buying on news and rumours of order flows. PBA may also benefit from this on listing.

Wednesday, October 19, 2005