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Friday, June 04, 2010

Hesitation on the street!


He who hesitates is not only lost, but miles from the next exit. – Anonymous

Living in resistance zone may be a tad comfortable than simply searching for support levels. The usual indicators are throwing up confusing signals which make any rise less convincing.

For the day the market is expected to open flat and perhaps move in a narrow range in the initial hours. Global cues later could determine the overall movement though individual heavyweights like HUL and ONGC could see some positive movement.

Hindustan Unilever is to consider a buy-back proposal. SBI is preparing a billion dollar war chest for Africa. Infosys is looking for smaller, back office and consulting

firm in Germany and France. ONGC and Oil India may see frenzied action ahead of a likely meeting of an empowered group of ministers headed by the Finance minister, to consider freeing petrol and diesel from government control. Should this happen, for the third time this calendar year fuel prices could go up and so would LPG.

Most Asian markets are lower. The fall is being led by mining companies following warnings of lower copper demand as China’s plans to curb its economy. The US markets saw some gains with the Dow adding a few points and the Nasdaq rising almost a percent. Investors were closely watching the weakening of the euro and the spiking of crude oil. Later in the day, the Eurozone GDP numbers are expected to be released.

On the domestic front, the RBI could well resort to a rate hike before its policy review on July 27 should the European crisis turn worse. With the sentiment changing faster than the weather, it is advisable to remain light and relax for the weekend.

Other stocks which could be in action include Hindalco which will declare its results today. KPIT Info board may announce a strategic initiative for an innovative solution in automotive technology. LG Balakrishnan and Torrent Pharma will announce dividends. Torrent Pharma had seen some bulk deals recently with some investors changing hands.

The euro fell lower versus the dollar shedding 0.6%. The dollar fell 0.1% against the yen

Meanwhile, the rupee strengthened on Thursday closing at 46.69/70 per dollar, a gain of 0.6% over its Wednesday’s close. Gold prices dropped fell in India with the Standard gold (99.5 purity) falling by Rs180 per ten grams to close at Rs18,545.

The Group of 20 nations is split on the scale and timing of increases in bank-capital requirements that have been under discussion since governments were forced to bail out lenders, an official from a G-20 government said.

In the US, reports on the labor market showed some improvement though they were below expectations. The Commerce Department report showed that factory orders increased 1.2% in April, again short of forecast.

The Institute for Supply Management's services sector index for May held steady at 55.4, again missing expectations.

Flat to negative start likely on Asian cues


Headlines for the day:

R-Power puts Maharashtra gas-based unit on fast track
HUL board to consider share buyback
Thermax signs technology transfer pact with Lambion

Events for the day:

Major corporate action

Ex-date for dividend of Torrent Pharma and LG Balakrishnan
For more events, log on to Sharekhan.com

Pre-market report

Global signals

European shares rose to a two-week closing high on Thursday as oil companies bounced, helped by a surge in the crude price, and growth in the Euro zone services sector boosted investor sentiment.

US Stocks rose on Thursday, led by a late-day surge in technology shares as investors geared up for a strong unemployment report on Friday. Stocks seesawed throughout the session, shifting between optimism and pessimism on a variety of factors, including technical resistance at the S&P 200-day moving average, the euro's weakness, and supportive labor market data.

Asian stock markets were trading marginally down. SGX Nifty was trading 23 points down.

Indian Indices

It was a day of cheer on Dalal Street yesterday. The markets started on a positive note and surged forward, showing no hesitation throughout the session and finally clocking 2% gains. US pending home sales for the month of April 2010 went up 6% as against expected increase of 5%. This news too pushed the other markets higher. The Nifty closed above the 5100 mark while the Sensex ended above 17000 on the back of strong global cues.

Technology shares, among the biggest beneficiaries of an economic recovery, led the US stocks rally. Today, the Asian markets were trading with marginal losses. Investors are expected to remain on the sidelines today, waiting for US employment data. Investors are expected to take a breather after posting huge gains. Following the path led by the Asian markets, the domestic markets are set to witness a flat to negative start.

In the coming day’s, monsoon would have a bearing on the market sentiment. One has to see how it develops and progresses to other parts of the country.

Commodity cues

In the commodity space, the crude oil prices rose on Thursday, with the Nymex light crude oil for the July series rose by $1.75 per barrel, whereas in the metals space, the Comex Gold for the July series down by $12.30 to a troy ounce and the Comex Silver for the July series was declined by $0.38 to a troy ounce.

Daily trend of FII/MF investment in equities

On June 03, 2010, the FIIs were the net sellers of the Indian stocks to the tune of Rs127.60 crore, whereas the domestic mutual funds, on June 01, 2010, were the net sellers of the stocks to the tune of Rs13.30 crore.

Daily News Roundup - June 4 2010


SBI is preparing a billion dollar war chest for Africa. (ET)

Infosys is looking for smaller, back office and consulting firm in Germany and France. (ET)

ONGC and Oil India get freedom to price natural gas. (BS)

Reliance Power plans to set-up a 4,000mw gas based power plant in Maharashtra with an investment of Rs150bn. (BS)

Daimler, Maruti Suzuki and M&M are set to lead an estimated US$30bn investment in the next four years. (ET)

MTN group has denied talks with RCom for a merger. (BS)

Hindustan Unilever to consider buy-back proposal. (BS)

Aurobindo Pharma gets US FDA nod for Ceftazidime injections. (BS)

United Phosphorus buys global fungicide business of US based Du-Pont. (BL)

SpiceJet international plans are delayed by three months. (BS)

Moser Baer plans to add 30-40mw of photovoltaic capacity by March 2011. (BS)

GMR Energy to raise Rs4.65bn for its energy expansion plans. (BS)

Godrej Consumer Products is planning a QIP issue to raise Rs6-7bn to fund proposed acquisitions. (BS)

NMDC plans Rs92bn steel plant in Karnataka. (BL)

BEML to set-up Rs3.16bn facility in Bangalore for its aerospace related business. (BL)

Renuka Sugar to re-negotiate Equipav deal. (BL)

Adani Power to invest Rs5bn in solar project. (BL)

The government plans to update the draft legislation on mining to unequivocally establish it as the owner of all the natural resources. (ET)

Petrol, diesel price may rise Rs3.5/litre. (BS)

Monsoon rains were 11% below normal in the week to June 2nd says IMD. (BS)

Food inflation rose to 16.55% for the week ended May 22’ 2010. (BS)

DoT to waive off spectrum charges for Defence Ministry. (ET)

Finance Ministry is seeking veto power in proposed council of finance ministers on the goods and service tax. (ET)

Sensex happily above 17000 mark


Indian markets further extended gains for second straight trading session on Thursday thanks to strong positive cues from the US and the Asian markets. After surging past its 200 DMA the NSE Nifty managed to recapture the 5100 levels. The BSE Sensex also went on to end above the psychological 17,000 levels. The strong upmove was seen despite a rise in country’s food price index. Food inflation for the week ended May 22 rose to 16.55%. The primary articles index was also up 16.89%, compared with the previous week's annual reading of 15.9%.

The upmove was led by the banking, telecom and the oil & Gas stocks. Even the Mid-Cap and the Small-Cap stocks were in demand. Finally, the BSE 30-share Sensex surged 280 points to close at 17,022 and NSE Nifty advanced 92 points at 5,113.

In the coming day’s monsoon would have a bearing on market sentiment, "We have to see how it develops and progresses to other parts of the country. Globally, political instability in Japan and Friday's monthly jobs report in the US are some of the factors to keep a watch on", says Amar Ambani, Vice President Research IIFL.

Markets in Asia ended in the green; the Nikkei in Japan rose over 3%, Australia's S&P/ASX gained by 2.5% and while the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong rose 1.7%.

European indices were trading in the green as well, the DAX in Germany was up 1.7%, the CAC 40 index in France was up 2.4% and the FTSE in the UK was up 1.7%.

All the BSE sectoral indices ended in the green, BSE Banking index was the top gainer, the index was up 2%, followed by BSE Teck index was up 1.9% and BSE Oil & Gas index was up 1.7%. Even the BSE Mid-Cap index ended higher by 1.1% and the Small-Cap index gained 1%.

Outside the frontline indices, the big gainers in the broader market were Union Bank, Ashok Leyland, Nagarjuna Const and IDFC. On the other hand, losers included Renuka Sugars, Jain Irrigation, KSK Energy and REI Agro.

Dishman Pharma


Dishman Pharma

EMCO


Investors with short-term trading perspective can buy the stock of Emco. The stock is moving in a band between Rs 75 and Rs 105 since last June. Within this band, the stock was in a downtrend since January 18 that halted at the key medium term support of Rs 74 towards the end of May. A short-term uptrend is in progress since this low that has taken the stock beyond the key resistance at Rs 82. The stock opened with an upward gap on Thursday and moved up accompanied by strong volumes.

The daily moving average convergence divergence oscillator is on the verge of signalling a buy and the 10-day rate of change oscillator is attempting to move above the zero line in to the bullish zone. These oscillators imply that the near term view on the stock is positive and the uptrend can sustain. The stock can move higher to Rs 87 or Rs 92 in the days ahead. Short term investors can buy the stock with stop at Rs 81.

via BL

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