Search Now

Recommendations

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Sensex slumps 621 points in three trading sessions


Bears ruled the roost for the third day in a row today, pulling the Sensex down 338 points. The barometer index has tanked 621 points in the last three trading sessions. Weak global markets triggered fall on the domestic bourses today. The market remained weak throughout the trading session.

Banking stocks declined ahead of the weekly inflation data. Power stocks fell Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL), Reliance Infrastructure fell more than 4% each. Tata Power Company and ONGC fell more than 3.5% each. The market breadth was weak.

Asian markets ended down on continued worries about the credit crisis after Lehman Brothers failed to announce any firm deals to raise desperately needed capital after posting record quarterly loss on Wednesday, 10 September 2008. US markets ended with modest gains on Wednesday, 10 September 2008.

The BSE 30-share Sensex lost 338.32 points or 2.31% to 14,324.29. At the day’s low of 14,265.38 hit in late trade, the Sensex fell 397.23 points. At the day’s high of 14,557.33 hit in early trade, the Sensex fell 105.28 points.

The S&P CNX Nifty slipped 109.95 points or 2.5% to 4,290.30.

The BSE Sensex has shed 620.68 points in the past three trading sessions from a recent high of 14,944.97 on 8 September 2008. The barometer index is down 5,962.7 points or 29.39% in the calendar year 2008 so far from its close of 20,286.99 on 31 December 2007. It is 6,882.48 points or 32.45% away from its all-time high of 21,206.77 struck on 10 January 2008.

Nifty September 2008 futures were at 4300.35, at a premium of 10.05 points as compared to spot closing of 4290.30.

BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 4776 crore, compared to Wednesday's Rs 5,185.84 crore. NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment turnover was Rs 50,366.39 crore, which was lower than Rs 52,717.79 crore on Wednesday, 10 September 2008.

The market breadth was weak on BSE with 1,786 shares declining as compared to 853 that advanced. 75 remained unchanged.

Among the 30-member Sensex pack, 28 declined while the rest gained.

The BSE Mid-Cap index was down 1.08% to 5,647.41 and BSE Small-Cap index fell 1.22% to 6,818.93.

BSE Oil & Gas index (down 3.39% to 9,339.74), BSE Power index (down 2.97% to 2,576.42), BSE Realty index (down 2.48% to 4,875.83), BSE Capital Goods index (down 2.39% to 11,941) underperformed Sensex.

BSE IT index (down 0.91% to 3,990.44), BSE Auto index (down 0.97% to 3,961.44), BSE FMCG index (down 1.19% to 2,211.48), BSE HealthCare index (down 1.4% to 4,182.23), BSE Metal index (down 1.45% to 10,991.79), BSE Bankex (down 1.57% to 7,210.66), BSE Teck index (down 1.71% to 3,045.40), BSE Consumer Durables index (down 1.8% to 3,622.46) and BSE PSU index (down 2.15% to 6,740.25) outperformed Sensex.

India’s largest private sector firm in terms of market capitalization and oil refiner Reliance Industries fell 4.13% to Rs 1,997.60 extending losses for the second straight day, spooked by reports the Prime Minister’s Office may recommend levy of export tax or ban petroleum exports from its refineries in Jamnagar.

Banking pivotals fell ahead of inflation data to be announced by the government after market hours today, 11 September 2008. ICICI Bank (down 2.01% to Rs 686.45), State Bank of India (down 1.7% to Rs 1,538.45) and HDFC Bank (down 1.9% to Rs 1,252.70) edged lower.

Annual inflation rose 12.34% in the year through 23 August 2008, lower than previous week’s 12.40% rise, data released by the government after trading hours on Thursday, 4 September 2008 showed.

Reliance Infrastructure (down 4.15% to Rs 992), Tata Power Company (down 3.53% to Rs 1,012.10), Reliance Power (down 0.68% to Rs 168.60) edged lower.

National Thermal Power Corporation fell 2.67% to Rs 173.45. The company today, 11 September 2008, said it has formed a joint venture company with Bihar State Electricity Board under the name Nabinagar Power Generating Company for setting-up of a coal based power project having capacity of 1980 megawatt.

ONGC (down 3.82% to Rs 1,035.45), DLF (down 3.28% to Rs 485.55), Jaiprakash Associates (down 3.25% to Rs 162.35), Mahindrs & Mahindra (down 3% to Rs 560.15) edged lower from the Sensex pack.

Tata Consultancy Services, India's top software services exporter fell 1.77% to Rs 836.10. The company said on Wednesday it will partner with Swedish defence and aerospace group Saab for an aeronautical design and development centre.

Bharti Airtel, India's biggest cellular services provider in terms of market capitalisation, fell 4.4% to Rs 776.20. Bharti Airtel launched a venture fund today with an initial Rs 200 crore ($44 million) to promote content and technology development.

Sterlite Industries fell 1.01% to Rs 502.75. From a recent high of Rs 622.35 on 8 September 2008 the stock had plunged 18.38% to Rs 507.90 on 10 September 2008 after the Vedanta group on Tuesday, 9 September 2008 announced a restructuring to simplify its corporate structure into three commodity-focused groups: copper and zinc-lead, aluminium-energy and iron ore.

IFCI clocked the highest volume of 1.52 crore shares on BSE. Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) (1 crore shares), Reliance Natural Resources (86.99 lakh shares), Austral Coke Projects (67.31 lakh shares) and Reliance Petroleum (67.2 lakh shares) were the other volume toppers in that order.

Reliance Industries clocked the highest turnover of Rs 478.91 crore on BSE. Reliance Capital (Rs 240.70 crore), ICICI Bank (Rs 165.73 crore), Austral Coke Projects (Rs 162.14 crore) and Larsen & Toubro (Rs 145.88 crore) were the other turnover toppers in that order.

European markets edged lower today, 11 September 2008. France’s CAC 40, Germany’s DAX and UK’s FTSE 100 were down by between 0.78% to 1.15%.

Asian markets were trading lower today, 11 September 2008. China's Shanghai Composite, Japan's Nikkei, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, Taiwan's Taiwan Weighted, Singapore's Straits Times, and South Korea's Seoul Composite were down between 1.48% to 3.34%.

US markets finished with modest gains on Wednesday, 10 September 2008 after rallying earlier on a drop in oil prices. The nervousness was due to investor worries about financial shares like Lehman Brothers. The Dow Jones industrial average gained 38.19 points, or 0.34%, to 11,268.92. The S&P 500 index advanced 7.53 points, or 0.61%, to 1,232.04, and the Nasdaq Composite index added 18.89 points, or 0.85%, to 2,228.70.

Daily Call - Sep 11 2008


Daily Call - Sep 11 2008

Global cues see markets open low


Weakness in global indices may weigh on the sentiment. Action today is likely to be stock-specific. However, the mood of the market is expected to remain negative after yesterday's loss and moving down FII inflows in domestic equities may help the local indices decline further. Among the key indices, the Nifty is likely target 4450 in near term and on breaching this level it is likely to target 4500, while the index has a key support at 4375. The Sensex has a likely support at 14500 and may face resistance at 14750.

On Wednesday the US markets manage a modest gain as investors scooped up shares battered in the previous session's selloff and sorted through Lehman Brothers' steep quarterly loss and restructuring plans. While Dow Jones gained 38 points at 11269 and the Nasdaq raise about 19 points at 2229.

Majority of the Indian floats ended in the green. Rediff was the biggest gainer and gain over 5.09% followed by ICICI Bank which was up 3.08%. Patni Computer, Infosys, Satyam, HDFC Bank, MTNL and VSNL were up 2-0.50% each. However, Dr Reddy moved down over 1.74% and Wipro lost over 0.18%.

Crude oil prices slipped marginally, with the Nymex light crude oil for September delivery slipped 68 cents to close at $102.58 a barrel. In the commodity segment, the Comex gold for December series moved down by $29.50 to settle at $762.50 an ounce.

Pre Market Watch - Sep 11 2008


The Indian Market is expected to have negative opening as Asian markets are trading lower. On Tuesday, domestic markets closed in red zone for second consecutive day due to the profit booking. Markets opened sharply lower as investors were afraid to take fresh positions on weak global cues and concern for inflation number along with IIP data due to be released today. Further market continued to trade weak and slipped sharply during last trading hours to end the day with losses. Weak European markets along with rise in black gold in Asian trade to $104.03 a barrel also fueled to the negative sentiment. NSE Nifty ended around 4,400 mark and BSE Sensex below14,700 level. Mid cap and Small cap stocks also showed weakness. From the sectoral front, all indices closed in red and Metal stocks were major sufferer of negative sentiment as closed with deep cut of more than 5% on reports that the steel ministry has recommended an additional 5% duty on iron ore exports over the present level of 15% in a bid to tame domestic prices of steel. Along with that, Oil & Gas, Capital Goods, Reality, Power and Bank stocks also contributed to the gloomy situation. The BSE Sensex closed lower by 238.15 points at 14,662.61 and NSE Nifty ended down by 68.45 points at 4,400.25. The BSE Mid Caps and Small Caps closed with loss of 69.27 points at 5,708.93 and by 61.19 points at 6,903.42.

We expect that market may remain volatile during the trading session ahead of inflation number for the week ended 30th August 2008 and IIP data.

The core sector data released two days before the IIP data for the month of July with indication of better industrial growth than previous months. The index of six core-industries grew at its fastest speed in July of current fiscal at 4.3%, backed by higher coal production and electricity generation. However, the index number for infrastructure output was much below than the 7.2% growth rate during the same month last year.

On Wednesday, the US market closed with marginal gains after rallying earlier on a drop in oil prices. Investor’s uneasiness was on worries about financial shares like Lehman Brothers. Crude slipped to settle at $102.58 per barrel on the NYMEX. Lehman reported a third quarter loss of $3.9 billion, and is cutting its common stock annual dividend to $0.05 per share from $0.68.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed higher by 38.19 points to close at 11,268.92 followed by the NASDAQ index ended up by 18.89 points to close at 2,228.70 and the S&P 500 (SPX) gained 7.53 points to close at 1,232.04.

Indian ADRs ended mixed. In technology sector, Patni Computers ended higher by (2.57%) followed by Satyam advanced by (1.92%), Infosys ended up by (1.13%), while Wipro lost (0.18%). In banking sector ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank gained (3.08%) and (1.98%). In telecommunication sector, MTNL and Tata Communication rose (0.69%) and (0.57%). However, Sterlite industries decreased by (1.34%).

Today the major stock markets in Asia are trading lower. Hang Seng index is trading weaker by 324.37 points at 19,675.41 along with Japan’s Nikkei trading down by 149.74 points at 12,196.89, Taiwan Weighted plunged 114.66 points at 6,343.35 and Singapore''s Straits Times declined 36.91 points at 2,585.50.

The FIIs on Wednesday stood as net seller in equity and net buyer in debt. Gross equity purchased stood at Rs2,023.10 Crore and gross debt purchased stood at Rs271.70 Crore while the gross equity sold stood at Rs2,209.20 Crore and gross debt sold stood at Rs119.10 Crore. Therefore, the net investment of equity reported was (Rs186.20) Crore and net debt was Rs152.60 Crore.

The Indian rupee on Wednesday weakened and crossed the level of Rs45 per dollar for the first time since November 2006 due to the strong dollar demand from foreign banks and stock market losses that raised expectations of more foreign fund outflows. The partially convertible rupee ended at 45.10/11 per dollar, 0.62% weaker than Tuesday''s close of 44.84/85.

Today, Nifty has support at 4,302 and resistance at 4,491 and BSE Sensex has support at 14,350 and resistance at 14,993.

Daily Reports - Sep 11 2008


Daily Reports - Sep 11 2008

Morning Call - Sep 11 2008








Market Grape Wine :

In House:

Nifty at a support of 4352 and 4305 with resistance at 4440 and 4487.

Cash: Sell RELIANCE below target 2050 with S/L 2098.

Cash: Sell ICICI BANK target 680 with S/L 710.

Future: Sell TATA POWER below 1057 target 1000 with S/L 1075.

Future: Sell HDIL below 299 target 280with S/L 309.

Out House:

Markets at a support of 14454 & 14591 and resistance at 14786 & 14991 levels .

Buy : RIL

Buy : Corerproject at dips

Buy : RPower at dips

Buy : Bharti & TataCom

Buy : Jayshreetea & Mcleodrussel

Buy : SBIN

Buy : IBulls

Buy : LNT & Bhel

Dark Horse : SesaGoa , Sbin , Kohinoor , Bhel , RComm & Aban

Gold Futures At 11 Month Low, Dollar At 11 Month High


Bottom Fishing Likely In Today's Session

Gold futures ended at their lowest level in nearly 11 months Wednesday as the U.S. dollar strengthened, losing ground for an eighth straight session and tying a seven-year record for a string of losses. Gold for December delivery fell $29.50, or 3.7%, to $762.50 an ounce on COMEX, the lowest closing level since Oct. 24, 2007.

MCX benchmark Gold contract also crushed hard in the intra day session and went on to touch a low of 11306 and closed the session at Rs 11343 per 10 grams down Rs 211. After the last session carnage Gold is likely to take a tick upwards, as traders will look for the opportunities of bottom fishing. The prices can see levels of 11426 in today’s session with Supports at 11300 and 11220 levels.

The dollar touched a fresh 11-month high against the euro just above the 1.40-level and held steady near 2 ½-year highs versus the pound at 1.7540. The greenback continues to remain favored amid burgeoning fears of rapidly deteriorating economic fundamentals, which consequently sent crude oil to an intra-day low at $101.43 per barrel. Also propping the dollar higher was the announcement from Lehman Brothers to sell off parts of its business to shore up its balance sheet, thereby tempering market jitters in the interim.

Traders will look ahead to US economic reports slated for release today, consisting of the July trade deficit, weekly jobless claims and the August Federal Budget. Consensus estimates expect the trade deficit to edge higher to $58 billion in July, versus a $56.77 billion deficit from the previous month. Weekly jobless claims are seen little changed at 440k versus 444k from the prior week. Meanwhile, the Federal Budget is forecasted to shrink to $106.2 billion for August, compared with $117.0 billion a month earlier.

Market Outlook - Sep 11 2008


Market Outlook - Sep 11 2008

Engineering, Infrastructure, Autos


Engineering, Infrastructure, Autos

Today's Pick - Cummins India


We recommend a sell in Cummins India from a short-term point of view. We notice in the charts of Cummins India that the stock has commenced a medium-term up move following the reversal from the support at Rs 225 in early July. However, this up trend started losing momentum in late August.

This was reflected by the negative divergence in the relative strength index (RSI). Moreover, the stock encountered resistance at Rs 325 (200-day moving average coincides with this level) and began declining. On September 10, the stock fell by 3 per cent, breaching the 21-day moving average conclusively. The daily and weekly RSI are heading towards the bearish zone.

The moving average convergence and divergence indicator also has signalled a sell and is declining. We are bearish on the stock from a short-term perspective. We expect the stock’s decline to prolong until it hits our price target of Rs 270 in the approaching trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can sell the stock while maintaining a stop-loss at Rs 312.

Trading Calls - Sep 11 2008







Nifty (4400) Support 4340 Resistance 4445

Buy Glenmark (672) SL 666
Target 684, 688

Buy GAIL (430) SL 425
Target 439, 442

Buy Voltas (134) SL 131
Target 140,141

Sell IVRCL Infra (301) SL 306 Target 291, 289

Sell SBI (1567) SL 1582
Target 1545, 1540

Falling inflation may give bulls direction


You cannot change your destination overnight, but you can change your direction overnight.

The weather has turned pretty hazy in Mumbai over the past few days, with isolated showers lashing the financial capital. The weather pattern in a way reflects the goings-on in the stock market of late. Most players are clueless about the near-term direction of the market amid mixed fundamentals. At the same time, there have been days when the bulls have managed to ward off the threat from the bears on positive newsflow. The yo-yo pattern is likely to continue for a while. Among the other worries is the relentless outflows by FIIs, which in turn is partly responsible for the fall in the rupee

Talking of macro-economic factors, inflation data will be released after the markets close today. It is likely to dip a bit from 12.34%. Some see it falling below 12% shortly, and if oil prices continue to slide, it may soon be in single digits again. The Government will also release IIP numbers for July tomorrow. Industrial output had grown by 5.4% in June. Data released by the Government yesterday showed that core sector growth for July slipped to 4.3% from 7.2% last year.

We expect the market to open in the red again. On the whole, the key indices will remain choppy while the broader market will continue to languish. Interest rate sensitives may see some spurt especially towards the end of the day in anticipation of a fall in inflation.

Keep an eye on Indian Hotels, as the company is likely to make a big announcement later today.

US stocks rose marginally on Wednesday, as investors snapped up the recently battered energy and technology shares, even as worries about the fate of Lehman Brothers and other financials kept a lid on the advance.

The S&P 500 advanced 7.53 points, or 0.6%, to 1,232.04. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 38.19, or 0.3%, to 11,268.92, and the Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 18.89, or 0.9%, to 2,228.7.

Market breadth was positive. More than two stocks rose for each that dropped on the New York Stock Exchange.

The US market had found early solace in Lehman's restructuring efforts but shares of the Wall Street securities firm fell sharply late in the session, extending a 45% sell-off on Tuesday, after rating agency Moody's said it may downgrade its debt. S&P Ratings too expressed concerns about Lehman's earnings potential.

An acquisition of Lehman may be more likely in the wake of the brokerage firm's latest quarterly loss and steps it's taking to sell assets, according to some analysts. Moody's said it will probably downgrade Lehman if the firm doesn't do a deal soon.

Strong earnings forecasts from FedEx and Texas Instruments, a firmer dollar, and lower oil and gold prices lent some support to the US stocks. But lingering worries about the financial sector limited gains for the blue chips.

Lehman reported a nearly $4bn third-quarter loss, its biggest quarterly loss since it went public in 1994. The company also said it will spin off part of its commercial real estate assets and slash its dividend. Additionally, Lehman plans to sell a 55% stake in its investment management division.

Lehman shares were choppy on the news, ending lower after rising nearly 10% in the morning and almost 30% in pre-market trading.

While the Federal Reserve is widely expected to once again hold a key interest rate at 2% when it meets on Tuesday, there is a growing sense that the Fed may have to cut rates by the end of the year.

If the Fed does so, it would mark a dramatic change in the central bank's assessment of the economy. As recently as the Fed's last meeting in August, Fed members indicated that their next move would be to hike rates to fight inflation.

The Fed has left rates unchanged at its past two meetings and started to indicate that it was growing more worried about rising commodity prices, particularly oil. However, the US economy, which once seemed on track for a recovery in the second-half, has recently shown signs of weakening further.

Oil prices declined as the US government indicated weaker demand for gasoline, even as supplies of crude and gas dipped more than expected last week. US light crude oil for October delivery fell 68 cents to settle at $102.58 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest close since April 1.

Gasoline prices rose overnight, breaking a nine-day losing streak, according to a national survey of credit-card activity.

In the bond market, Treasury prices tumbled, raising the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to 3.63% from 3.57% late on Tuesday. The dollar rallied versus the euro and yen. COMEX gold for December delivery fell $29.50 to $762.50 an ounce.

European shares fell on Wednesday, with financials such as Royal Bank of Scotland leading the fall after Lehman's failure to secure a capital injection from Korea Development Bank and a hefty third-quarter loss. The pan-European Dow Jones Stoxx 600 index lost 0.8% to 277.35. UK's FTSE 100 closed down 0.9% at 5,366.20, while Germany's DAX 30 shed 0.4% to 6,210.32 and the French CAC-40 declined 0.2% to 4,283.66.

In the emerging markets, Russian equities fell sharply for a second session, as investors continued to exit the market amid pressure to meet margin calls. In Moscow, the dollar-denominated RTS index fell 4.4% to end at 1,334. It is down 42% year-to-date. The RTS index has fallen 19% only this month.

Brazil's Bovespa rallied 2.5% to 49,633. Brazil's central bank has lifted its key interest rate by 75 basis points to 13.75%. Mexico's IPC index ended virtually unchanged at 25,622. The ISE National-30 index in Turkey was down 2.5% at 48,787.

Market to remain sluggish

Bulls banged the bears on Monday after India pulled off a historic triumph at the NSG. But their joy, as expected was short-lived as the euphoria lost steam and markets ended lower for second straight trading session.

Scientists at CERN began a huge particle-smashing machine, intending to re-enact the conditions of the "Big Bang" that created the universe.

The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is the biggest and most complex machine ever made and the platform, the largest scientific experiment in human history.

However, it was not a big bang day for Indian markets as weak global cues again dragged the sentiments on Dalal Street. The US stocks slumped overnight. Asian markets too ended lower by 1-2%. The metal, oil & gas and power stocks witnessed offloading.

Among the 30 components of the Sensex 24 stocks ended in the red and only 6 stocks ended in positive terrain. Index heavyweights like Reliance Industries, Sterlite Industries and Bharti Airtel were among the major laggards. On the other hand, Infosys, ITC and SI were among the major gainers.

Finally, the BSE benchmark Sensex closed at 14,662 losing 238 points and the BSE Nifty index slipped 68 points to close at 4,400.

In the overall market, 932 stocks advanced and 1,720 stocks declined. Whereas, 78 stocks were unchanged.

The IT stocks were in momentum after rupee weakened past the Rs45/US$ mark for the first time since November 20, 2006. The currency declined for a second day as the dollar rose against 14 of the 16 most-active currencies, according to reports.

Mphasis, Infosys and Financial Technologies were among the major gainers.

Shares of Usher Agro surged by over 12% to Rs191 after the company announced that it entered in MoU with Satake Corporation, Japan for expansion of Rice Milling Capacity by another 1 million ton.

Satake will be providing the plant & machinery for the interest free credit period of three years. The MoU provides that the Company will be extended with the technical know-how of the better use and production of bye products of rice, for exclusive right of use this technology in India for a specified period. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs192 and a low of Rs172 and recorded volumes of over 41,00,000 shares on BSE.

Shares of Sterlite Industries declined for second straight trading session on reorganization plans, the stock fell by over 12% to Rs507. The stock further took a hit after Macquarie Group cut share-price target by 28% on concern the company's reorganization plan would increase its capital and lower EPS.

The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs559 and a low of Rs505 and recorded volumes of over 40,00,000 shares on BSE.

Hydro S&S Industries, an Indian maker of polypropylene and plastic products was locked at 20% upper circuit at Rs41.45 after the board of directors of the company announced that they would meet on September 16, 2008 to consider buyback of equity shares. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs41.45 and a low of Rs39.1 and recorded volumes of over 16,000 shares on BSE.

Adani Enterprise surged by over 7% to Rs657 after Adani Power secured SEBI approval for IPO. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs705 and a low of Rs607 and recorded volumes of over 4,00,000 shares on BSE.

The government is planning to transfer the power management functions of Power Grid Corp of India into a new entity. (Mint)
Dr. Reddy’s is revamping its business model to focus on niche services; combining its custom pharmaceutical services (CPS) and API divisions. (Mint)
Bajaj Auto plans four new passenger and cargo vehicles. (Mint)
Saab AB, the Swedish maker of Gripen fighter plane, intends to establish an aerospace development centre in India with TCS. (Mint)
Educomp Solutions buys 50% in Eurokids for Rs390mn. (Mint)
Siemens Healthcare to pay Rs451mn on buyout of a diagonistic firm. (Mint)
IL&FS to pick up 50% stake in NTPC-Bhel venture. (Mint)
Temasek keen on part of Suuti stake in Axis Bank. (Mint)
Unitech in talks to sell stake in wireless unit. (Mint)
TCS, Infosys expect more delays in orders from US market. (Mint)
HCL Enterprise plans to form a venture capital arm. (BS)
Government restarts efforts to sell IFCI stake. (BS)
Electrotherm India signs a JV with Grasim for captive mining of coal block in Chattisgarh. (BS)
Gujarat NRE Coke plans rights issue. (BS)
L&T gets %160mn order from Petrobras. (BS)
Vodafone fears Essar may further dilute BPL stake. (BS)
A shareholder of GHCL has filed a petition to seek adjournment of the AGM on fears of destabilization of existing management. (BS)
Kingfisher Airlines plans to raise $400mn. (BS)
The research arm of Orchid Chemicals is planning public issue by June 2009. (BS)
Dewan Housing arm lines up $250mn real estate fund. (BS)
Japanese spirits giant, Suntory is looking to acquire 10-15% stake in United Sprits. (ET)
Reliance Industries incorporates two wholly owned subsidiaries for London and Singapore market. (BL)
Bharti promoters acquire additional 0.5% stake in Bharti Airtel for Rs8.3bn. (ET)
Nokia, Ericsson, Siemens, Alcatel, Huewai and ZTE submit bids for US$9bn BSNL tender. (ET)
Gammon India acquires 50% stake in Italy-based power company Sofinter. (ET)
Israel’s SC stops Sun Pharma from closing Taro open offer. (ET)
Awaita properties acquire controlling stake in JPT Securities. (ET)
NHPC plans a follow on offer after its proposed IPO in October. (ET)
NTT DoCoMo in talks to pick up stake in Tata Teleservices. (ET)
Usher Agro enters in to MoU with Satake Corp, Japan for expansion of rice milling capacity. (ET)
Bank of Rajasthan enters into MoU with ICRA. (FE)
United Breweries, Heineken in discussion to resolve Asia-Pacific issue. (BL)
JSW Steel, Ispat Industries cut prices by Rs2,000 per ton effective from September 1. (BL)
Sel Manufacturing to set up textile park for an investment of Rs5bn. (BL)
Era Infrastructure secures order worth Rs1.29bn from AAI. (BL)
GVK Power & NPCIL plans to buy reactors from GE Westinghouse. (BL)
BPCL-Kochi refinery to set up bottoms upgradation project. (BL)
Reliance Industries evaluating development plans for D6 satellite fields. (BL)
Sobha Developers to construct 40 premium villas in Kerala for Rs1bn. (BL)
DLF secures SEBI approval to buy back shares worth Rs11.10bn at a price not exceeding Rs600/share. (BL)

Economy Front page

Shipping companies plan fixed rates for long term deals. (Mint)
Banks have three months left for complying with a directive by RBI to treat advances given to equity-oriented mutual funds as capital market exposure. (Mint)
India’s ranking falls two notches to 122 in a global list that ranks the ease of doing business in 181 economies. (BS)
Core infrastructure growth slows to 4.3% in July from 7.2% in the corresponding period last year. (ET)
Rupee hits two-year low, breaches 45 against the dollar. (FE)
Finance Ministry seeks DoT to consult on the fees to be paid by telecom operators to extend license for 10 more years. (ET)
DTH service providers in talks with media planners and brands to sell space for advertisement. (ET)
Railways record 9% increase in freight traffic during April-August 2008. (ET)
Government to consider proposal to enable banks and financial institutions to fund acquisition of farm land overseas. (ET)
Private companies may be allowed to run, operate and own metro rail networks. (ET)
Central Drug Standard Control Organisation set to simplify regulatory norms for Pharmaceutical industry. (ET)
Government to consider TRAI proposal to hike FDI in news channels. (BL)


Daily Technicals - Sep 11 2008


Daily Technicals - Sep 11 2008

GMDC


GMDC

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Subbarao defends tight monetary regime


Defending the Reserve Bank's tight credit policy, its new Governor D Subbarao on Tuesday said the apex bank would push financial sector reforms to accelerate high growth, but watch the scenario before unveiling any further monetary measures.

"Not tightening the monetary policy...would have eroded confidence in the economy...we will be monitoring the situation continuously and closely and take appropriate action," he said in his maiden press conference as RBI Governor here.

On financial sector reforms, Subbarao said that it was a key factor in financing our nine per cent growth over the last few years. "To sustain and accelerate this growth, financial sector reforms will remain important," he said.

However, he made it clear that financial sector reforms should promote inclusive growth through efficient and easily accessible financial services.

Elaborating on the runaway inflation, Subbarao said that without tightening of monetary policy, the impact on growth and the impact on the poor may have been severe.

He maintained that the inflation now at 12.34 per cent was, however, a short-term and global phenomenon and that its momentum has come down in the recent past.

The apex bank will watch those sectors which drive demand, in particular, those driving growth, Subbarao said.

Monetary policy transmission takes time, the RBI Governor said, adding that, "besides, we will also have to watch developments in the global markets and their potential impact on our economic management."

"The current high inflation is primarily an outcome of supply-side pressures as well as demand-side factors and is a short-term phenomenon, largely driven by international commodities, crude oil, metals and food prices," he said.

To support a healthy growth, inflation and inflationary expectations are to be contained, he said.

"The current high inflation is primarily an outcome of supply-side pressures as well as demand-side factors and is a short-term phenomenon, largely driven by international commodities, crude oil, metals and food prices,"Subbarao said.

In a bid to contain inflation, the apex bank had hiked its Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) and short-term repo rates by 1.5 per cent and 1.25 per cent respectively since April.

Subbarao said the recent moderation in growth was only a cyclical down-turn, adding that,"the structural India growth story is still intact and credible."

The Government and the RBI would shortly bring out a comprehensive report of the committee on Financial sector assessment, he said.

"We need to draw a roadmap that responds to our immediate and medium term needs. Obviously this is a shared responsibility of the Government, the RBI and indeed all other regulators," Subbarao said.

An average 9 per cent growth in the economy in the past few years waas mainly led by the rise in private consumption, increasing private investment and surge in exports, Subbarao said.

"I believe these engines of growth are still on track," he said.