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Monday, February 06, 2012

Market may extend recent strong gains on firm Asian stocks


The market may extend recent strong gains on firm Asian stocks. Trading of S&P CNX Nifty futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicates a gain of 50 points at the opening bell. Hindustan Unilever, National Aluminium Company and India Cements announce Q3 results today, 6 February 2012.

Power Finance Corporation announced after market hours on Friday, 3 February 2012 that net profit rose 68.2% to Rs 1107.91 crore on 27.2% rise in operating income to Rs 3283.64 crore in Q3 December 2011 over Q3 December 2010.

Hindustan Copper announced after market hours on Friday, 3 February 2012 that net profit fell 2% to Rs 79.14 crore on 12.2% rise in sales to Rs 344.58 crore in Q3 December 2011 over Q3 December 2010.



Key benchmark indices advanced for the fourth consecutive trading session on Friday, 3 February 2012 to attain their highest closing level in 13-1/2 weeks as data showing stepping up of buying of Indian stocks by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) recently boosted sentiment. A private survey showing that the services sector grew at its fastest pace in six months in January 2012, aided the rally as the market extended this year's strong gains. The services sector data comes after a survey recently showed strong growth in manufacturing sector in January 2012. The BSE Sensex jumped 173.11 points or 0.99% to settle at 17,604.96, its highest closing level since 31 October 2011.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth Rs 1074.21 crore on Friday, 3 February 2012, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. FIIs bought shares worth Rs 4691.93 crore in first three trading sessions of February month from 1 February 2012 to 3 February 2012, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. FIIs made substantial purchases of Indian stocks last month. FIIs bought shares worth a net Rs 10357.70 crore in January 2012, as per data from Securities & Exchange Board of India (Sebi).

The 3rd quarter earnings season is at its peak. Mahindra & Mahindra and GMR Infrastructure unveil Q3 results tomorrow, 7 February 2012. Bharti Airtel, ONGC, Power Grid Corporation of India and Tech Mahindra unveil Q3 results on 8 February 2012. Tata Steel, Hindalco, ACC, Ambuja Cements and HPCL unveil quarterly results on 9 February 2012.

DFL, Tata Power, BPCL, Reliance Communications (RCom), Britannia Industries, Sun TV Network, Essar Oil and Neyveli Lignite Corporation unveil Q3 results on 10 February 2012. JSW Steel announces consolidated Q3 results on 10 February 2012. The company has already announced its stand-alone results.

Aditya Birla Nuvo, Oil India and Ashok Leyland announce Q3 results on 11 February 2012. State Bank of India, Cipla Indian Oil Corporation, Coal India, Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries and Steel Authority of India (Sail) unveil Q3 results on 13 February 2012. Tata Motors and Shipping Corporation of India unveil Q3 results on 14 February 2012. Ranbaxy Laboratories announces Q4 December 2011 results on 23 February 2012.

India's services sector grew at its fastest pace in six months during January 2012 as new business swelled, extending the previous couple of months' positive trend into the new calendar year, a survey showed on Friday, 3 February 2012. The HSBC Business Activity Index, compiled by Markit and based on a survey of around 400 firms, bounced to 58 in January from 54.2 in December. That was the third month the index has been above the 50-mark separating growth from contraction.

India's manufacturing sector grew at its fastest pace in eight months in January 2012 as factory output surged the most on record on increased domestic and foreign demand, a survey showed on Wednesday. The HSBC manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI), compiled by Markit, jumped to 57.5 from 54.2 in December. The factory output sub-index jumped to 62.9 in January from 55.8 in December, the biggest rise from one month to the next on record. Both the output and the new orders indexes rose to their highest level since May last year.

India's trade deficit widened to $12.7 billion in December from $8.0 billion a year earlier as export growth slowed due to falling global demand. But imports, specially in the non-oil segments, continued to grow. For the April-December period, the trade gap was $133.2 billion, compared with $96.2 billion a year earlier. India's merchandise exports in December grew 6.7% from a year earlier to $25.0 billion while imports rose 19.8% to $37.7 billion.

The government on Tuesday, 31 January 2012, lowered slightly its estimate of the country's growth in gross domestic product for the last fiscal year ended 31 March 2011, to 8.4% from 8.5%.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), took liquidity easing measures by cutting the cash reserve ratio (CRR) requirement for banks by 50 basis points to 5.5% from 6% at Third Quarter Review of Monetary Policy 2011-12. The central bank said that as a result of the reduction in the CRR by 50 basis points, around Rs 32000 crore of primary liquidity will be injected into the banking system. The central bank said the large structural deficit in the system presents a strong case for injecting permanent primary liquidity into the system.

The RBI kept its key lending rate viz. the repo rate unchanged at 8.5%. RBI has cut the baseline projection of GDP growth for 2011-12 to 7% from 7.6%. The growth-inflation balance of the monetary policy stance has now shifted to support growth, while at the same time ensuring that inflationary pressures remain contained, the central bank said.

The reduction in CRR can be viewed as a reinforcement of the guidance that future rate actions will be towards lowering interest rates, RBI said. However, the timing and magnitude of future rate actions is contingent on a number of factors, RBI said. In the absence of credible fiscal consolidation, the Reserve Bank of India will be constrained from lowering the policy rate in response to decelerating private consumption and investment spending, it said. The forthcoming Union Budget must exploit the opportunity to begin this process in a credible and sustainable way, the RBI said.

The budget for 2012/13 ending March will be presented after elections scheduled in five states, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said on 2 January 2012. Polling for assembly elections in five states concludes in early March 2012. The annual budget is usually presented on the last working day of February.

A trial court Saturday dismissed a petition to investigate Home Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram's alleged role in a 2008 telecom scandal, handing a much-needed victory to the Congress party-led national government. The scandal, which revolves around alleged fraud in the distribution of second-generation cellphone licenses, has destabilized the Congress government over the past 18 months. On Thursday, the Supreme Court, citing the manner of the allocation, ordered the scrapping of more than 100 licenses, putting at risk millions of dollars of investment by foreign telecom companies. Former Telecommunications Minister Andimuthu Raja was arrested last year for his alleged role in the scandal. Mr. Raja, although a former minister in the Congress-led coalition, is a member of a smaller regional party. The court ruled Saturday that there was insufficient evidence to make Mr. Chidambaram a co-defendant alongside Mr. Raja and other politicians and corporate executives who are being investigated. Mr. Chidambaram has denied any wrongdoing.

Asian stocks advanced on Monday extending last week's rally, after data showed higher-than-expected U.S. jobs growth. Key benchmark indices in China, Hong Kong, Indonesia Japan, South Korea and Singapore rose by between 0.22% to 1.06%. Taiwan's Taiwan Weighted fell 0.4%.

Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos struck a tentative deal with party leaders to extend spending cuts after euro-area finance chiefs told them an increase in the 130 billion-euro ($170 billion) aid package wasn't forthcoming. Greece's leaders will meet today to complete an accord as international creditors imposed deadline today in Athens for a final deal.

US stocks rose on Friday after the U.S. economy added more jobs than expected last month, driving the Nasdaq Composite to an 11-year high and pushing the Dow to its highest close in nearly four years. Friday's gains followed a strong report from the U.S. Labor Department. January data showed nonfarm payrolls rose 243,000 last month, marking the biggest gain since April. The jobless rate fell from 8.5% to 8.3%, the lowest it has been since February 2009.Other data showed that the U.S. non manufacturing sector expanded at a faster rate in January, while a factory orders came in lower than expectations.