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Thursday, June 17, 2010

Bullion metals shed little gains


Prices stay low as dollar stays steady

Bullion metal prices ended lower on Wednesday, 16 June 2010 at Comex. Prices fell as the dollar pared early losses and inched up against the basket of other currencies even though the euro remained at its two-week high levels.



Generally, a stronger dollar pressures demand for dollar-denominated commodities, such as crude oil and gold, which become more expensive for holders of other currencies and also vice versa. Recently, the embattled euro has played stronger role in moving prices rather than dollar fluctuation. Bullion metals have registered increase in prices despite strong dollar in recent times and vice versa.

On Wednesday, gold for August delivery ended at $1,230.5 an ounce, lower by $3.9 (0.3%) an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices rose to a high of $,1239.5 earlier in the session. Last week, gold did trade to a new all time high at $1254.40 in the overnight session. Last week, gold ended higher by 1%. Prices had touched an all time high of $1,249.7 on 14 May 2010.

Gold for June delivery had settled above $1,200 in early December 2009, only to pull back to $1,172 area and dip as much as the $1,050 vicinity in early February 2010. Gold ended May higher by 3%. For the month of April, gold ended higher by 6%. For the first quarter of this year, gold rose by 1.7%, its sixth quarterly rise. On a year to date basis, gold is higher by 12.3%.

On Wednesday, July Comex silver futures ended lower by 14 cents (0.7%) at $18.44 an ounce. Last week, silver ended higher by 5.4%. For May, silver shed 1.1%. For the month of April, silver ended higher by 4.1%. For the first quarter of this year, silver rose by 3%. On a year to date basis, silver is higher by 7.7%.

In the currency market on Wednesday, the dollar index, which weighs the strength of dollar against a basket of six other currencies rose by almost 0.03%.

Among economic reports scheduled for the day, the Commerce Department in US reported on Wednesday, 16 June 2010 that housing starts in US fell 10% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 593,000 in May 2010, the lowest level since December.

Also, the Labor Department in US reported on Wednesday, 16 June 2010 that U.S. wholesale prices fell a seasonally adjusted 0.3% in May, the largest decline since February as prices for energy and food goods declined. The core rate in May, which excludes volatile energy and food prices, rose 0.2%, the seventh monthly gain in a row.

Separately, The Federal Reserve in US reported on Wednesday, 16 June 2010 that Output of the nation's factories, mines and utilities rose 1.2% in May after a 0.7% gain in April. It was the largest increase since August, when production was boosted by the cash-for-clunkers program. The recovery in the U.S. industrial sector was led by strong output of durable-goods manufacturing and utilities.

Gold had ended FY 2009 higher by 24%. Silver futures had ended 2009 up 50%. The dollar index had lost 4.2% against its counterparts last year.

Last year, after hitting a low at $807.30 per ounce on 15 January 2009, gold futures rallied almost 51% to hit an all-time high at $1217.40 per ounce during early December of 2009 but fell from those levels at the end. Silver futures had hit a low at $10.42 on 15 January 2009 and hit a high at $19.30 per ounce on 2 December 2009. Like gold, silver also ended lower than its all time high level.

At the MCX, gold prices for August delivery closed lower by Rs 34 (0.2%) at Rs 18,630 per ten grams. Prices rose to a high of Rs 18,794 per 10 grams and fell to a low of Rs 18,600 per 10 grams during the day's trading.

At the MCX, silver prices for July delivery closed Rs 151 (0.52%) lower at Rs 29,215/Kg. Prices opened at Rs 29,365/kg and fell to a low of Rs 29,175/Kg during the day's trading.