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Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Bullion metals continue to glitter


Another all time high crude price pulls up precious metals further

A new all time high crude price once again pulled up bullion metals today, Tuesday, 06 May, 2008. With today, bullion metals went up for three straight days. On the other hand, dollar continued to weaken. Silver prices also rose for the day.

Gold has traditionally been used as a safe-haven asset against rising inflation. Investor sentiments are boosted by the fact that gold and silver are alternate sources of good investment in the face of declining dollar and rising energy prices. On the other hand strong dollar reduces the appeal of the metal as alternate source of investment.

Comex Gold for June delivery rose $3.6 (0.4%) to close at $877.7 ounce on the New York Mercantile ExchangeLast week, gold prices lost $32 (3.6%) against previous week’s close. On 17 March, 2008 prices had skyrocketed to a high of $1,034/ounce.

This year, gold prices have gained 5% for the till date against a 9.3% drop for the dollar against the euro. For April, prices closed lower by 6.3%. For first quarter prices gained 10.7%. In January, prices gained 11%, the highest monthly gain since April 2006. For February, it gained 6%. But in March, prices succumbed and fell by 5.5%.

Comex Silver futures for July delivery rose 3 cents (0.02%) to $16.86 an ounce. Silver has gained 13% in 2008 till date. For April, it closed lower by 5.5%. Silver gained 16% in Q1. In January this year itself, prices climbed 14%. In February, it gained another 15%. For March, it ended lower by 13%. The metal had climbed 16% in FY 2007. The metal also has gained for seven straight years.

On the currency markets today, dollar continued to decline pushing crude prices further up. A weak dollar makes oil more attractive as an investment alternative. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was at 73.007, down from 73.190 in late Monday.

In the energy market today, crude prices ended near about $121.8/barrel due to supply disruptions at Nigeria. Prices closed higher by $1.9 (1.6%).

Generally, a stronger dollar pressures demand for dollar-denominated commodities, such as crude oil and gold, which become more expensive for holders of other currencies. On the other hand, a lower dollar pushes up precious metal prices as their demand lessens as it becomes cheaper for traders holding other currencies.

At the MCX, gold prices for June delivery closed higher by Rs 136 (1.2%) at Rs 11,600 per 10 grams. Prices rose to a high of Rs 11,649 per 10 grams and fell to a low of Rs 11,462 per 10 grams during the day’s trading.

At the MCX, silver prices for May delivery closed Rs 172 (0.8%) higher at Rs 22,592/Kg. Prices opened at Rs 22,478/kg and went to a high of Rs 22,792/Kg during the day’s trading.