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Monday, February 12, 2007

Sensex hurtles 348 points lower


The Sensex plunged sharply for the second straight day, today’s fall being more profound and painful compared to Friday's. The BSE benchmark traded in the red throughout on continued selling.

The BSE benchmark also saw a bout of volatility, swinging sharply either ways. The 30-shares BSE Sensex settled 348.20 points (2.39%) in deficit, at 14,190.70, recovering some lost ground after plunging to a low of 14,146.22 on value-buying. The Sensex has thus breached a vital support level of 14,200.

The BSE Sensex began on a highly bearish note, as selling pressure spilled over to this week. The horror show had started on Friday, when the benchmark Sensex tumbled close to 113 points, as a lot of stop losses were triggered due to highly leveraged positions in the derivatives market. Its high for the day was 14,529.28. Traders and speculators exited long positions and chose to sit on the sidelines before the Union Budget. Weak global markets also played spoilsport.

The S&P CNX Nifty lost 129.10 points (3.08%) to 4058.30.

As the market tanked, the market-breadth, indicative of the overall health of the market, did not look good, as a host of small-cap and mid-cap stocks succumbed to selling. There were close to seven losers for every gainer on BSE. For 2,312 shares declining on BSE, only 334 rose. Just 27 shares were unchanged.

The BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 3266 crore.

There was complete pandemonium in the market, and not even a single member from the 30-member Sensex pack was spared the stick.

Aluminium major Hindalco Industries plunged the most after its large all-cash acquisition of US-based Novelis raised concerns about a short-term strain on financials. It was down 14% to Rs 149.05 on high volumes of 72.81 lakh shares. Hindalco Industries and Novelis, on Sunday, signed a definitive agreement for Hindalco to acquire Novelis in an all-cash transaction, which values the US firm at approximately $6 billion, including approximately $2.4 billion of debt.

It may be worthwhile to recall a similar situation, when Tata Steel won the bid to acquire Corus, with analysts worrying about the high price paid by Tata Steel to acquire Corus. Novelis is the largest flat rolled products player in the world with a 19% share of the global market.

The Novelis-Hindalco deal will be financed through a recourse debt of $2.8 billion, Hindalco’s treasury contributing $450 million, while SL Iron Ore Mining, another group company, chipping in with $300 million as debt.

Following the transaction, Hindalco, along with Novelis, will be the world's largest aluminium rolling company, one of the biggest producers of primary aluminium in Asia, and India's leading copper producer.

Novelis posted a net loss of $102 million during the third quarter of 2006. The company has been plagued by high metal prices.

Reliance Communications (RCL) dropped 4.63% to Rs 453.55, on a volume of 21.23 lakh shares, after it lost the bid to acquire the fourth largest cellular services provider, Hutch Essar. Vodafone emerged the top bidder with a $19 billion bid.

RCL recovered from a low of Rs 448.15. Vodafone staved off bids from RCL, the Hinduja brothers and Essar itself, to buy Hutchison's 67% stake for $11.1 billion in cash, and $2 billion more in debt, an enterprise value of $18.8 billion. Vodafone's emergence as a top bidder has dashed Reliance Communications hope of becoming the largest mobile operator in the country.

Bhel (down 6.25% to Rs 2348), Bharti Airtel (down 4.62% to Rs 718), and Gujarat Ambuja Cements (down 4.54% to Rs 132.50) were the other major losers.

Index heavyweight Reliance Industries settled at Rs 1,354, down 2.47% from the previous close of Rs 1,388.25 on a volume of 4.98 lakh shares.

Other heavyweight shares, Infosys (down 0.49% to Rs 2350) and ONGC (down 2.12% to Rs 865) also declined.

Zee Entertainment Enterprises (ZEE) dropped 29% to Rs 257 on 17.66 lakh shares, after the stock went into a no-delivery period ahead of the de-merger of Dish TV, its direct-to-home TV service. The counter clocked 9.30 lakh shares on the BSE. The company has fixed 20 February 2007 as a record date for determining the shareholders of the company eligible for shares in ASC Enterprises, which will be later renamed Dish TV. ZEE will allot 23 fully paid-up equity shares of Re 1 each in ASC to every shareholder for 10 equity shares of Re 1 each held in ZEE.

Technocraft Industries India settled at 100.90 on BSE on its day of debut, notching up a volume of 98.63 lakh shares. It listed at Rs 125 on BSE, a premium of 19.04% over the IPO price of Rs 105. It touched an intra-day low of Rs 97.35, and an intra-day high of Rs 130. The company raised around Rs 87.36 crore at the upper end of the price band of Rs 95 - 105 per share in the IPO concluded recently. The IPO was oversubscribed 10.67 times.

Meanwhile, India's industrial production (IIP) surged 11.1% in December, more than expected, adding pressure on the central bank to raise interest rates. Economists were expecting a rise of just 10.5%.

Most of the Asian and European markets finished in the red, on selling pressure. Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 84.25 points (0.41%), at 20,593.41, Taiwan's Taiwan Weighted was down 83.17 points (1.06%), at 7,776.36, Singapore's Straits Times plunged 50.43 points (1.57%), at 3,170.46, while South Korea's Seoul Composite index was down 13.39 points (0.94%), to 1,414.29.

US stocks closed lower on Friday after an extensive sell off in stocks inspite of new upgrades announced by Ford Motor and General Motors. The sell-off was prompted by a rise in crude futures, remarks by Federal Reserve officials leaving open the possibility of more rate hikes and concern by Micron Technology executives about memory chip demand and pricing. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed lower by 56.8 points at 12,580.83, and Nasdaq lost 28.85 points, to 2,459.82.

FIIs were net sellers to the tune of Rs 560 crore in index-based futures on 9 February, the day when the Sensex lost 113 points in a broad decline after a surge in inflation to a more than two-year high. Concerns of a further rise in interest rates grew after the inflation data was released last week. Net buying by FIIs stood at $153.7 million on 8 February 2007. Mutual funds net sale was Rs 193 crore (Rs 1.93 billion) on the same day. NSE F&O open interest was down by Rs 815 crore (Rs 8.15 billion) at Rs 60,052 crore (Rs 600.52 billion).

Oil prices climbed briefly above $60 a barrel on Friday for the first time since the first trading day of the year, as an unrelenting winter across the US led to belief that heating fuel demand will not wane anytime soon. Light, sweet crude for March delivery rose $0.18, to settle at $59.89 a barrel by afternoon trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after rising as high as $60.80.

Meanwhile, gold jumped above $668 an ounce on Monday to its highest in seven months, before losing some of the gains to weakening oil prices. Spot gold hit an intraday high of $668.20 an ounce, its best since mid-July on short-covering, before slipping to $665.75/666.50 an ounce, slightly lower than $666.50/667.20 late in New York. Firm oil prices raise gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation.