Ratnamani Metals and Tubes
Cluster: Ugly Duckling
Recommendation: Buy
Price target: Rs375
Current market price: Rs270
Stainless growth
Key points
- Ratnamani Metals and Tubes Limited (RMTL) is the largest player in the stainless steel (SS) tubes and pipes segment in the organised sector, with a market share of 35%. The company has an impressive list of clients including L&T, BHEL, IOC, HPCL and Reliance Industries.
- Given the buoyant demand for SS tubes and pipes and carbon steel (CS) pipes the company is increasing its capacity in both the segments. In SS tubes and pipes, the company is expanding its capacity from 6,960 metric tonne per annum (MTPA) to 14,460MTPA. The CS pipes capacity is being enhanced from 120,000MTPA to 220,000MTPA. This capacity expansion is being done through a greenfield expansion at Kutch, Gujarat.
- RMTL has a strong order book of Rs200 crore, to be executed over the next 6 months. We believe that the strong industrial activity and the solid order book position of its key clients will lead to a huge demand for its products. Moreover, RMTL's thrust in the export market has also led to strong export orders. The company is targeting an export turnover of Rs70 crore in FY2006 as compared to exports of Rs22 crore in FY2005.
- We expect RMTL's revenue to grow at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45.9% over FY2005-07. We expect the net profit to grow at a CAGR of 63% during the same period due to the expansion in its operating profit margin (OPM). We expect RMTL to report an earning per share (EPS) of Rs27.2 in FY2006 and of Rs39.1 in FY2007. The stock trades at 9.7x its FY2006E and 6.7x its FY2007E earnings. Given the strong order book position and the company being a market leader in a growing industry, we believe the stock is grossly undervalued. We initiate coverage with a Buy in the stock with a target price of Rs375, which is 9.5x its FY2007E earnings.